Climate Risk in Picnic Point, NSW
Picnic Point faces a medium overall climate risk, primarily driven by flooding and heat. Sea level rise and increased rainfall intensity are key factors contributing to the flood risk. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense heatwaves.
Is Picnic Point Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Picnic Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Picnic Point
Flood
Picnic Point is located near the Georges River and is susceptible to flooding, particularly during heavy rainfall events and king tides. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Picnic Point faces a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby reserves and potential ember attack during severe fire weather. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Picnic Point is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban areas within the suburb may experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Located near the Georges River, Picnic Point is vulnerable to coastal inundation and erosion due to sea level rise. Increased storm surge events could further exacerbate these risks.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Picnic Point
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Picnic Point is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban areas within the suburb may experience higher temperatures due to the urban heat island effect.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Picnic Point is located near the Georges River and is susceptible to flooding, particularly during heavy rainfall events and king tides. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
Located near the Georges River, Picnic Point is vulnerable to coastal inundation and erosion due to sea level rise. Increased storm surge events could further exacerbate these risks.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
bushfire Risk
While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Picnic Point faces a moderate bushfire risk due to nearby reserves and potential ember attack during severe fire weather. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Vegetation dryness
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased flood and bushfire risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and ember attack potential.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate change adaptation.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on property value.
- 5.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for climate-related risks.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to require new buildings to be more resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreRestore and Protect Coastal Ecosystems
Long-termProtect and restore mangroves and other coastal ecosystems to provide natural protection against sea level rise and storm surge.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Picnic Point's Climate Risk Profile
Picnic Point, located in New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The suburb's proximity to the Georges River makes it particularly vulnerable to flooding, which is expected to worsen with climate change due to increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise. This poses a threat to properties and infrastructure located near the river.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with potential for ember attack from nearby bushland areas. Hotter, drier conditions will likely increase the frequency and severity of bushfires in the region. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season.
Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions. The urban heat island effect may exacerbate temperatures in built-up areas.
Sea level rise and storm surge also pose a threat to Picnic Point, potentially leading to coastal inundation and erosion. Planning for these impacts is crucial to protect coastal assets and communities. Adaptation measures, such as improved drainage and building codes, can help mitigate these risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Canterbury Bankstown
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Picnic Point?
The main climate change risks for Picnic Point are flooding, heatwaves, and sea level rise. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to worsen flooding, while heatwaves will become more frequent and intense. Sea level rise poses a long-term threat to coastal areas.
How will climate change affect property values in Picnic Point?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk. Properties located further from the river may be less affected. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase due to climate change risks.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Picnic Point?
The City of Canterbury Bankstown is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to address the risks facing Picnic Point. These strategies include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and updating building codes.
How can residents prepare for heatwaves in Picnic Point?
Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and checking on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
What should I do if my property is affected by flooding in Picnic Point?
If your property is affected by flooding, contact the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) for assistance. Follow their instructions and evacuate if necessary. After the flood, contact your insurance company and the council to report the damage.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Picnic Point, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections