Climate Risk in Penrose, New South Wales
Penrose, NSW, faces increasing risks from flooding and bushfires due to climate change. Heatwaves are also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Penrose Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Penrose, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Penrose
Flood
Penrose faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The area around Penrose has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Penrose experiences moderate heat risk, with potential for heatwaves during summer. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
Coastal
Penrose is not directly exposed to coastal risks.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Penrose
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Penrose experiences moderate heat risk, with potential for heatwaves during summer. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Penrose faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Penrose is not directly exposed to coastal risks.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area around Penrose has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand coverage.
- 4.Develop an emergency plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Mitigation
ImmediateImplement bushfire risk reduction measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Emergency Planning
ImmediateDevelop and implement a comprehensive community emergency plan to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Penrose's Climate Risk Profile
Penrose is a rural locality in the Southern Highlands of New South Wales. The primary climate risks for Penrose include flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, leading to more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Flooding is a significant concern due to increased rainfall intensity. The local waterways and drainage systems may struggle to cope with heavier rainfall, leading to property damage and disruption. Bushfire risk is also high due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures increase the likelihood of bushfires, posing a threat to homes and lives.
Heatwaves are another growing concern, with rising temperatures expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events. This can lead to heat stress and other health problems, particularly for vulnerable populations. While Penrose is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from sea-level rise and coastal erosion.
Residents of Penrose should take steps to prepare for these climate risks. This includes developing emergency plans, maintaining properties to reduce fire risk, and staying informed about weather forecasts and warnings. Community-level adaptation measures, such as improved drainage systems and bushfire management strategies, are also important.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wingecarribee Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Penrose?
The main climate change risks for Penrose are increased flooding, bushfire risk, and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Penrose?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risk of flooding and bushfires.
What can I do to prepare for increased flooding in Penrose?
You can improve drainage around your property, elevate valuable items, and develop an emergency plan.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Penrose?
You can clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and have a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Penrose?
You can find more information on the Wingecarribee Shire Council website, the NSW RFS website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections