Climate Risk Profile: Gwynneville, NSW

Gwynneville, New South Wales· Wollongong· 2500
Updated May 2026

Gwynneville is a suburb in Wollongong, NSW, that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.

Is Gwynneville Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Gwynneville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gwynneville

Flood

Gwynneville has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Gwynneville has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland reserves. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

Gwynneville experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Gwynneville has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline and elevation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gwynneville

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Gwynneville experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Gwynneville has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to creeks and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Gwynneville has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline and elevation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
  • ·Elevation
Data source

bushfire Risk

Gwynneville has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland reserves. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the risk of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Potential for moderate price impact in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Plans

Near-term

Develop and implement bushfire management plans for properties near bushland reserves, including vegetation clearing and firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Establish Community Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Create a community heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable residents during extreme heat events, including cooling centers and outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Sensitive Urban Design

Long-term

Incorporate water sensitive urban design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Increase Tree Canopy Cover

Long-term

Plant more trees to provide shade and reduce the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Gwynneville's Climate Risk Profile

Gwynneville, located in the Wollongong region of New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks that are projected to intensify in the coming decades. The suburb's proximity to creeks and low-lying areas makes it particularly vulnerable to flooding during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is expected to exacerbate this risk through increased rainfall intensity and frequency of extreme weather events.

Bushfire risk is also a concern for Gwynneville, given its proximity to bushland reserves. Hot, dry conditions, coupled with strong winds, can create ideal conditions for bushfires to spread rapidly. While coastal risks are minimal due to its distance from the coastline, the suburb is still indirectly affected by broader climate change impacts.

Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves pose a significant threat to the health and well-being of Gwynneville residents, particularly the elderly and vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these impacts, leading to higher temperatures in built-up areas.

Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including investments in flood mitigation infrastructure, bushfire management strategies, and measures to reduce the urban heat island effect. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Gwynneville?

The main climate change risks for Gwynneville are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to creeks, while bushfires are a risk due to nearby bushland. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense.

How will climate change affect property values in Gwynneville?

Climate change may have a moderate impact on property values in Gwynneville, particularly in areas that are at high risk of flooding or bushfires. Buyers may be more cautious about purchasing properties in these areas, which could lead to lower prices.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Gwynneville?

Wollongong City Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change in Gwynneville, including upgrading drainage infrastructure, developing bushfire management plans, and promoting water sensitive urban design.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts in Gwynneville?

Residents can prepare for climate change impacts by checking flood maps and bushfire prone area designations, assessing their property's vulnerability to heatwaves, and inquiring about the council's climate adaptation plans. They can also take steps to reduce their own carbon footprint.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Gwynneville?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Gwynneville on the Wollongong City Council website, the NSW Rural Fire Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Gwynneville, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Gwynneville, NSW | ClimateNest