Climate Risk Assessment for Gunning, NSW

Gunning, New South Wales· Upper Lachlan Shire Council· 2581
Updated May 2026

Gunning faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Gunning Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Gunning, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gunning

Flood

Gunning faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow

Bushfire

The area around Gunning has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Gunning is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Gunning is not located near the coast and therefore has a negligible risk from coastal hazards.

Key drivers:

  • ·N/A

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gunning

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Gunning is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect (minor)
Data source

flood Risk

Gunning faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Gunning is not located near the coast and therefore has a negligible risk from coastal hazards.

Primary Drivers

  • ·N/A
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Gunning has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to reduce cooling costs.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and implement flood mitigation measures to reduce the impact of flooding events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Implement a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Undertake regular property maintenance to reduce bushfire risk, such as clearing vegetation and maintaining fire breaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Water Conservation Measures

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to reduce water demand during drought periods.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Gunning's Climate Risk Profile

Gunning, NSW, is a rural town that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and heatwaves resulting from rising average temperatures. Bushfire risk is also present due to the surrounding bushland.

Flooding events have historically impacted Gunning, and climate projections suggest that these events will become more frequent and severe. This poses a threat to infrastructure, property, and the safety of residents. The local council is working to improve drainage and implement flood mitigation measures.

Heatwaves are another significant concern, particularly for vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress, dehydration, and other health problems. It is important for residents to take precautions during heatwaves, such as staying hydrated and seeking air-conditioned environments.

While Gunning is not located near the coast, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to agriculture and supply chains, could indirectly affect the town. Adapting to these changes will require a community-wide effort.

Residents should stay informed about climate risks and take steps to prepare their homes and families. This includes having an emergency plan, maintaining insurance coverage, and participating in community resilience initiatives.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Gunning?

The main climate change risks for Gunning are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Gunning?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions. Increased insurance premiums are also possible due to higher flood and bushfire risks.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The Upper Lachlan Shire Council is working to improve drainage, implement flood mitigation measures, and develop a climate strategy.

How can I prepare my home for increased flood risk?

You can prepare your home by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring adequate drainage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and avoid strenuous activities.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Gunning, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Gunning, NSW | ClimateNest