Climate Risk in Grosses Plain, NSW
Grosses Plain faces increasing risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these hazards, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Grosses Plain Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Grosses Plain, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Grosses Plain
Flood
Grosses Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
The area around Grosses Plain has a high bushfire risk due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing dry conditions during summer. Increased temperatures and drier vegetation contribute to the risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Grosses Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As an inland suburb, Grosses Plain has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Grosses Plain
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Grosses Plain is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Grosses Plain faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
As an inland suburb, Grosses Plain has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The area around Grosses Plain has a high bushfire risk due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing dry conditions during summer. Increased temperatures and drier vegetation contribute to the risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential for increased insurance premiums.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan
ImmediateCreate a detailed plan for evacuating your property in the event of a bushfire, including designated escape routes and emergency contacts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove Home Cooling
Near-termInstall air conditioning or fans to help keep your home cool during heatwaves. Consider energy-efficient options to reduce electricity consumption.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Flood Protection
Near-termInstall flood barriers or raise the foundation of your home to reduce the risk of flood damage.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePlant Native Trees
Long-termPlanting native trees can help to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade, making the suburb more resilient to heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Grosses Plain's Climate Risk Profile
Grosses Plain, NSW, is an inland suburb that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding, all of which are projected to worsen in the coming decades.
Bushfire risk is elevated due to the proximity of surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions increase the likelihood of ignition and spread, posing a threat to homes and infrastructure. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, placing stress on vulnerable populations. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly neighbors during periods of extreme heat.
Flooding is another concern, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have a plan in place.
While Grosses Plain is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change will affect the region. Taking proactive adaptation measures is essential to protect the community and ensure a sustainable future.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Grosses Plain?
The main climate change risks in Grosses Plain are bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changes in rainfall patterns.
How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?
You can prepare your home for a bushfire by clearing vegetation around your property, maintaining gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan in place.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on elderly neighbors. Avoid strenuous activities during the hottest part of the day.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Grosses Plain?
You can find information about flood risks in Grosses Plain on the NSW Government and local council websites, including flood maps and historical flood data.
How will climate change affect property values in Grosses Plain?
Climate change may affect property values in Grosses Plain due to increasing risks from bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding. Properties that are more vulnerable to these hazards may experience a decline in value.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections