Climate Risk Assessment for Grose Wold, NSW
Grose Wold faces moderate risks from flooding and bushfires, which are expected to increase with climate change. The suburb also experiences moderate heat risk. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Grose Wold Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Grose Wold, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Grose Wold
Flood
Grose Wold faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Grose River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
Bushfire
Grose Wold is located in a bushfire-prone area, with significant bushland surrounding the suburb. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Grose Wold experiences moderate heat risk, with average maximum temperatures in January exceeding 30°C. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
Coastal
Grose Wold is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Grose Wold
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Grose Wold experiences moderate heat risk, with average maximum temperatures in January exceeding 30°C. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Heatwave frequency
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Grose Wold faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Grose River and other waterways. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine flooding
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Grose Wold is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Grose Wold is located in a bushfire-prone area, with significant bushland surrounding the suburb. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain insurance quotes and understand policy coverage.
- 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
- 5.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire risk reduction measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termCreate a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public health advice.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to ensure that new and existing buildings are more resilient to climate-related hazards, such as flooding and bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Grose Wold's Climate Risk Profile
Grose Wold, located in the Hawkesbury region of New South Wales, is a semi-rural suburb that faces several climate-related challenges. The primary concerns are flooding from the Grose River and surrounding waterways, as well as bushfire risk due to the extensive bushland areas.
Climate change projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall and prolonged periods of drought. This will likely exacerbate the existing flood and bushfire risks in Grose Wold. The suburb's proximity to the Grose River makes it particularly vulnerable to riverine flooding, while the surrounding bushland creates a significant bushfire hazard.
Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Grose Wold, with average maximum temperatures in January already exceeding 30°C. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
While Grose Wold is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased insurance costs, could still affect the suburb. Residents and property owners should take proactive steps to adapt to these changing conditions and mitigate their risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Hawkesbury City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Grose Wold?
Grose Wold faces significant risks from flooding and bushfires, which are expected to increase with climate change. The suburb also experiences moderate heat risk.
How will climate change affect property values in Grose Wold?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increased risks from flooding and bushfires. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.
What can I do to protect my property from flooding?
Consider installing flood barriers, improving drainage, and elevating electrical systems. Check the Hawkesbury City Council website for more information.
How can I prepare for a bushfire?
Create a bushfire survival plan, maintain firebreaks around your property, and stay informed about bushfire alerts. Refer to the NSW Rural Fire Service website for detailed guidance.
Where can I find information about emergency services in Grose Wold?
The NSW State Emergency Service (SES) and the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) are the primary emergency services for Grose Wold. Their websites provide information about emergency preparedness and response.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections