Climate Risk Profile: Goonengerry, NSW

Goonengerry, New South Wales· 2482
Updated May 2026

Goonengerry faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Increasing temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Goonengerry Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Goonengerry, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Goonengerry

Flood

Goonengerry faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in a valley and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

Goonengerry has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions during the fire season. The risk is exacerbated by increasing temperatures and prolonged droughts.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Prolonged droughts

Heat

Goonengerry experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Goonengerry has a low coastal risk as it is not located directly on the coast. However, it may be indirectly affected by coastal erosion and sea level rise through economic and social impacts.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Coastal erosion

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Goonengerry

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Goonengerry experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Goonengerry faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location in a valley and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Goonengerry has a low coastal risk as it is not located directly on the coast. However, it may be indirectly affected by coastal erosion and sea level rise through economic and social impacts.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Goonengerry has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland and dry conditions during the fire season. The risk is exacerbated by increasing temperatures and prolonged droughts.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Prolonged droughts
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increased flood and bushfire risk.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Consider insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Inquire about local adaptation plans.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-resistant building designs.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire management strategies, including fuel reduction, community education, and improved firefighting capabilities.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plans

Near-term

Create heat action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Community Resilience

Long-term

Foster community resilience through education, training, and social support networks to help residents prepare for and respond to climate-related disasters.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Goonengerry's Climate Risk Profile

Goonengerry, located in the Northern Rivers region of New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The area's topography and proximity to waterways make it susceptible to flooding, particularly during periods of heavy rainfall. Climate change is projected to increase the intensity and frequency of extreme rainfall events, further elevating the flood risk.

The surrounding bushland also poses a significant bushfire threat to Goonengerry. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can quickly spread fires, endangering lives and property. Climate change is expected to worsen bushfire conditions, with longer fire seasons and more severe fires.

Rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will also impact Goonengerry. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are particularly at risk during heatwaves. Infrastructure and essential services may also be affected.

While Goonengerry is not directly on the coast, it may experience indirect impacts from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. These impacts can affect the region's economy, environment, and social well-being. Addressing these climate risks requires a coordinated effort from individuals, communities, and governments.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Goonengerry?

The main climate change risks in Goonengerry are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Goonengerry?

Climate change may affect property values in Goonengerry due to increased flood and bushfire risk. Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decline in value.

What can I do to prepare for climate change in Goonengerry?

You can prepare for climate change by taking steps to reduce your risk to flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. This may include improving your home's flood defenses, creating a bushfire survival plan, and taking steps to stay cool during heatwaves.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Goonengerry?

You can find more information about climate change in Goonengerry from the local council, state government, and scientific organizations such as the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology.

Is Goonengerry a good place to invest in property considering climate change?

Goonengerry presents both opportunities and risks for property investment given the changing climate. While the area offers a desirable lifestyle, potential investors should carefully assess the specific property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires, consider future insurance costs, and factor in the potential impacts of climate change on property values. Consulting with local experts and conducting thorough due diligence is recommended.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Goonengerry, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Goonengerry's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Goonengerry, NSW | ClimateNest