Climate Risk Assessment for Glenthorne, NSW

Glenthorne, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Glenthorne faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is moderate and expected to increase. Coastal risk is low.

Is Glenthorne Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Glenthorne, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Glenthorne

Flood

Glenthorne faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Glenthorne has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Glenthorne is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Glenthorne has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise is not expected to significantly impact the suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Glenthorne

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Glenthorne is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Glenthorne faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Glenthorne has a low coastal risk. Sea level rise is not expected to significantly impact the suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

bushfire Risk

Glenthorne has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency for heatwave resilience.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Immediate

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Develop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on staying safe.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Manage Vegetation to Reduce Bushfire Risk

Near-term

Implement vegetation management programs to reduce fuel loads and create firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Encourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Glenthorne's Climate Risk Profile

Glenthorne is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are flooding and heatwaves, with moderate bushfire risk also present.

Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate flood events. The suburb's proximity to waterways makes it particularly susceptible. Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations.

Bushfire risk is moderate due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the likelihood of bushfires. While coastal risks are currently low, long-term sea level rise could pose a threat.

Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate these risks and protect the community. These include improving drainage infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and managing vegetation to reduce bushfire fuel loads.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Glenthorne?

The main risks are increased flooding due to heavier rainfall, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Glenthorne?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.

What is the council doing to address climate change risks?

The council is currently developing a climate strategy to address these risks. Check the council website for updates.

How can I prepare for heatwaves in Glenthorne?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What should I do if a flood occurs in Glenthorne?

Follow the advice of emergency services, evacuate if necessary, and avoid driving through floodwaters.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Glenthorne, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections