Climate Risk Profile: Geurie, NSW
Geurie faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.
Is Geurie Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Geurie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Geurie
Flood
Geurie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River and local creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
The area around Geurie has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Geurie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Geurie is not directly exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Geurie
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Geurie is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Geurie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Macquarie River and local creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
The area around Geurie has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding grasslands and bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·Stronger winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Consider the impact of heatwaves on property value and comfort.
- 4.Review insurance coverage and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing of buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Action Plan
ImmediateImplement a heatwave early warning system and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
Near-termImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce water stress during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Geurie's Climate Risk Profile
Geurie, located in the Dubbo Regional area of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate these hazards in the coming decades.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the proximity of the Macquarie River and local creeks. Intense rainfall events can lead to both riverine and flash flooding, impacting homes, businesses, and infrastructure. Climate projections indicate an increase in the frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall, further elevating flood risk.
Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and severe, posing a threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. Rising temperatures can lead to heat stress, dehydration, and other heat-related illnesses. The urban heat island effect may also amplify the impact of heatwaves in built-up areas.
Bushfire risk is another important consideration, with surrounding grasslands and bushland creating a potential fire hazard. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires, threatening lives and property. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have a plan in place.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting bushfire preparedness. Community engagement and education are also essential to building resilience to climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Dubbo Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Geurie?
The main climate change risks in Geurie are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the coming decades due to changes in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures.
How can I prepare for flooding in Geurie?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. Consider flood-proofing your home if you live in a flood-prone area.
What should I do during a heatwave in Geurie?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Geurie?
You can protect your property from bushfires by maintaining your property, clearing vegetation around your home, and having a bushfire survival plan. Stay informed about bushfire warnings and follow the advice of the Rural Fire Service.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Geurie?
The Dubbo Regional Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and developing a climate action plan.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections