Climate Risk in Gerringong, NSW
Gerringong is a coastal suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.
Is Gerringong Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Gerringong, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Gerringong
Flood
Gerringong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfires in Gerringong is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during dry and windy conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Gerringong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Gerringong is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion, which could impact infrastructure and property.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Gerringong
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Gerringong is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Gerringong faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its coastal location and proximity to waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Gerringong is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion, which could impact infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Gerringong is moderate, with surrounding bushland posing a potential threat during dry and windy conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
- 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
- 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement coastal protection measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect infrastructure and property from sea level rise and erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
ImmediateEstablish a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreManage vegetation to reduce bushfire risk
Near-termClear vegetation around properties and implement controlled burns to reduce the risk of bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreRaise community awareness
ImmediateEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures through workshops and public information campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Gerringong's Climate Risk Profile
Gerringong, a picturesque coastal town in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region's proximity to the coast and surrounding bushland makes it susceptible to a range of hazards, including flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
Flooding is a significant concern for Gerringong, with intense rainfall events capable of causing flash flooding and riverine flooding. Sea level rise is also expected to increase the risk of coastal inundation. The risk of bushfires is moderate, with dry vegetation and strong winds creating favorable conditions for fire spread.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a threat to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Coastal erosion is also a growing concern, with sea level rise threatening infrastructure and property along the coastline.
Addressing these challenges requires a coordinated effort from local government, residents, and businesses. Implementing adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, managing vegetation, and developing heatwave response plans, can help to reduce the risks associated with climate change. Raising awareness and promoting community resilience are also crucial for ensuring that Gerringong remains a safe and sustainable place to live.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Kiama Municipal Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Gerringong?
Gerringong faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to be exacerbated by climate change.
How will sea level rise affect Gerringong?
Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal inundation and erosion, potentially impacting infrastructure and property along the coastline.
What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Gerringong?
Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves. Follow advice from NSW Health.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Gerringong?
You can find flood maps and information on the Kiama Municipal Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Gerringong?
Clear vegetation around your property, maintain your gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Consult the NSW Rural Fire Service for advice.
Is it safe to buy property near the coast in Gerringong?
Properties near the coast may be at risk from coastal erosion and sea level rise. It's important to assess the property's vulnerability and consider the potential for increased insurance premiums.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Gerringong, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections