Climate Risk Assessment: Fishermans Bay, NSW

Fishermans Bay, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Fishermans Bay faces a moderate climate risk profile, with increasing threats from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider long-term adaptation strategies. The suburb's proximity to bushland and the coast contributes to its vulnerability.

Is Fishermans Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Fishermans Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Fishermans Bay

Flood

Fishermans Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential coastal inundation. The risk is influenced by its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Fishermans Bay is relatively high due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions during the fire season can exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Fishermans Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Located near the coast, Fishermans Bay is exposed to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase in the coming decades.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Fishermans Bay

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Fishermans Bay is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Fishermans Bay faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential coastal inundation. The risk is influenced by its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

coastal Risk

Located near the coast, Fishermans Bay is exposed to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges. The risk is expected to increase in the coming decades.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Fishermans Bay is relatively high due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions during the fire season can exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to protect low-lying areas from flooding, such as levees and drainage improvements.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement community education programs and improve bushfire management practices to reduce the risk of property damage and loss of life.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Implement Coastal Erosion Mitigation Measures

Long-term

Protect coastal areas from erosion through the construction of seawalls and beach nourishment projects.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Fishermans Bay's Climate Risk Profile

Fishermans Bay, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from heavy rainfall and coastal inundation, heightened bushfire danger due to drier conditions, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal erosion exacerbated by sea level rise.

The risk of flooding is driven by increased rainfall intensity and potential storm surges. Low-lying areas are particularly susceptible, and infrastructure may be at risk. Bushfire risk is elevated due to the presence of surrounding bushland, with hotter, drier conditions creating a more flammable environment.

Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. Coastal erosion and inundation are also growing concerns, driven by sea level rise and increased storm intensity.

Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation efforts focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while adaptation strategies aim to build resilience to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving infrastructure, implementing early warning systems, and promoting community awareness.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Fishermans Bay?

The main risks include flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to increase in frequency and intensity due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Fishermans Bay?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance premiums and potential damage from extreme weather events.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

The council is developing a climate strategy that includes measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

You can prepare your home by clearing vegetation around the property, installing fire-resistant materials, and developing a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Fishermans Bay?

You can find information about flood risks on the council's website, including flood maps and historical flood data.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Fishermans Bay, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Fishermans Bay's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections