Climate Risk in Firefly, NSW
Firefly, NSW, faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Firefly Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Firefly, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Firefly
Flood
Firefly faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Manning River and local creeks. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate these risks.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The area around Firefly has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Firefly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Located near the coast, Firefly is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise. These factors could impact infrastructure and property values.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Firefly
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Firefly is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Firefly faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from the Manning River and local creeks. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate these risks.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Located near the coast, Firefly is exposed to coastal erosion and sea level rise. These factors could impact infrastructure and property values.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
The area around Firefly has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may see a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps
- 2.Assess bushfire risk
- 3.Consider heatwave impacts
- 4.Review insurance options
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage infrastructure and build flood levees to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreBushfire Management
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including hazard reduction burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Preparedness
Near-termDevelop a heatwave plan to protect vulnerable populations, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Protection
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to protect properties from erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Firefly's Climate Risk Profile
Firefly, located in the Mid-Coast region of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from the Manning River and associated creeks, increased bushfire danger due to drier conditions, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal hazards such as erosion and sea level rise.
The risk of flooding is expected to increase with more intense rainfall events. Properties close to the river are particularly vulnerable. Bushfire risk is also projected to rise as temperatures increase and fuel loads remain high.
Heatwaves are becoming more common and severe, posing a significant threat to the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Coastal erosion and sea level rise threaten properties and infrastructure along the coastline.
Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Mitigation involves reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change. Adaptation involves taking steps to protect communities and infrastructure from the impacts of climate change that are already locked in. This includes measures such as improving flood defenses, managing bushfire risk, and planning for sea level rise.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Mid-Coast Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Firefly?
The main climate risks in Firefly are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
How is the council addressing climate change?
The Mid-Coast Council is developing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
What can I do to prepare for flooding?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring your home is well-maintained.
What support is available during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, you can seek refuge in cooling centers, stay hydrated, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Firefly, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections