Climate Risk in Erskineville, New South Wales
Erskineville faces a moderate climate risk profile, with heatwaves and flooding posing the most significant threats. The suburb's urban environment exacerbates the heat island effect, while heavy rainfall events can lead to stormwater flooding.
Is Erskineville Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Erskineville, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Erskineville
Flood
Erskineville faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's relatively flat topography and existing drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Erskineville has a low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. The primary risk would stem from embers carried by wind from more distant bushfire events.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from bushland
- ·Urban density
Heat
Erskineville is subject to a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect exacerbates this risk, leading to higher temperatures than surrounding areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Erskineville has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline and elevation above sea level. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
- ·Elevation
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Erskineville
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Erskineville is subject to a high risk of heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect exacerbates this risk, leading to higher temperatures than surrounding areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Lack of green space
flood Risk
Erskineville faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential stormwater runoff. The area's relatively flat topography and existing drainage infrastructure contribute to this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
Erskineville has a very low risk of coastal hazards due to its distance from the coastline and elevation above sea level. Sea level rise is not expected to directly impact the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
- ·Elevation
bushfire Risk
Erskineville has a low risk of bushfire due to its urban location and limited vegetation. The primary risk would stem from embers carried by wind from more distant bushfire events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from bushland
- ·Urban density
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heatwave risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a slight decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Increase Green Space
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreUpgrade Stormwater Infrastructure
ImmediateImprove stormwater drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
Near-termDevelop a system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce strain on water resources during periods of drought.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Erskineville's Climate Risk Profile
Erskineville, located in inner Sydney, is primarily at risk from increased heatwaves and potential flooding due to climate change. The urban heat island effect is a significant concern, as the suburb experiences higher temperatures than surrounding areas, particularly during summer. This can lead to increased health risks for vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.
Flooding is another potential hazard, with heavy rainfall events capable of overwhelming the existing stormwater drainage infrastructure. This can result in localized flooding of streets and properties, causing damage and disruption. The risk of flooding is expected to increase as climate change leads to more intense rainfall events.
While the risk of bushfire is low due to the suburb's urban location, embers carried by wind from distant bushfires could still pose a threat. Coastal hazards are minimal due to Erskineville's distance from the coastline and its elevation above sea level.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation measures, such as increasing green space to mitigate the urban heat island effect, upgrading stormwater drainage infrastructure to reduce flood risk, and implementing community awareness programs to prepare residents for extreme weather events. These measures will help to ensure that Erskineville remains a liveable and resilient suburb in the face of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Sydney
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Erskineville?
The main climate change risks for Erskineville are increased heatwaves and flooding due to heavier rainfall events. The urban heat island effect exacerbates the heatwave risk, while stormwater infrastructure may struggle to cope with increased rainfall intensity.
How will climate change affect property values in Erskineville?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a slight decrease in value. However, the overall impact of climate change on property values in Erskineville is uncertain.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Erskineville?
The City of Sydney is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including increasing green space, upgrading stormwater infrastructure, and promoting water conservation.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Erskineville?
To prepare for heatwaves in Erskineville, stay hydrated, seek shade, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends, and be aware of the symptoms of heat stress.
What should I do if my property is flooded in Erskineville?
If your property is flooded in Erskineville, prioritize your safety and the safety of your family. Move to higher ground, avoid contact with floodwater, and contact emergency services if necessary. Once the floodwater has receded, assess the damage and contact your insurance company.
Is Erskineville in a bushfire prone area?
No, Erskineville is not in a designated bushfire prone area due to its high-density urban development. However, embers carried by wind from distant bushfires could still pose a threat.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Erskineville, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections