Climate Risk in Eraring, NSW
Eraring faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Rising temperatures and sea levels are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Eraring Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Eraring, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Eraring
Flood
Eraring faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Macquarie and local waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Rising sea levels
Bushfire
Eraring has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Eraring experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Eraring faces a low to moderate coastal risk, primarily from sea level rise and potential erosion along the Lake Macquarie shoreline.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Eraring
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Eraring experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Eraring faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to Lake Macquarie and local waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Rising sea levels
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Eraring faces a low to moderate coastal risk, primarily from sea level rise and potential erosion along the Lake Macquarie shoreline.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
bushfire Risk
Eraring has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in the future due to increased climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of sea level rise on waterfront properties.
- 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal Erosion Management
Long-termImplement coastal erosion management strategies to protect shorelines from sea level rise and storm surge.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Eraring's Climate Risk Profile
Eraring, located on the shores of Lake Macquarie, is vulnerable to a range of climate change impacts. The primary risks include increased flooding due to more intense rainfall events and rising lake levels, as well as a heightened bushfire threat from hotter, drier conditions.
The area's proximity to bushland increases the risk of bushfires, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to worsen these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Rising temperatures will also pose a challenge, with more frequent and severe heatwaves expected. This can impact vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Ensuring access to cooling and staying hydrated are crucial during heatwaves.
Sea level rise and increased storm surge could also impact the Lake Macquarie shoreline, potentially leading to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. While the immediate coastal risk is lower than some other areas, it is still a factor to consider in long-term planning.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to slow the pace of climate change, while local adaptation measures can help to protect the community from the impacts that are already locked in.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Lake Macquarie City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Eraring?
The main climate change risks in Eraring are increased flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
How will climate change affect property values in Eraring?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased climate risks.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Eraring?
Lake Macquarie City Council is implementing a range of sustainability initiatives and climate adaptation strategies.
How can I prepare my home for bushfires in Eraring?
You can prepare your home for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, maintaining your roof and gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave in Eraring?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Eraring, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections