Climate Risk Profile: Engadine, NSW
Engadine faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates bushfire danger, while heavy rainfall can cause flooding. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Engadine Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Engadine, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Engadine
Flood
Engadine faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local creeks. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Engadine has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to the Royal National Park and other bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for severe bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Engadine experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses, are particularly at risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Engadine has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Engadine
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Engadine experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses, are particularly at risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Engadine faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and overflowing of local creeks. The risk is exacerbated by urban development and inadequate drainage infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage
coastal Risk
Engadine has a low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Engadine has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to the Royal National Park and other bushland areas. Hot, dry summers and strong winds contribute to the potential for severe bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Proximity to bushland
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to climate change impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Consider the long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Bushfire Management Plans
ImmediateDevelop and implement comprehensive bushfire management plans to protect properties and lives.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Heatwave Preparedness
Near-termRaise awareness about the risks of heatwaves and provide resources for vulnerable populations to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Long-termUpdate building codes to ensure that new buildings are more resilient to climate change impacts, such as flooding and bushfires.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Engadine's Climate Risk Profile
Engadine, located in the Sutherland Shire, is vulnerable to several climate-related risks. The suburb's location near the Royal National Park makes it highly susceptible to bushfires, especially during hot and dry conditions. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these conditions, leading to more frequent and intense bushfire seasons.
Flooding is another significant concern for Engadine. Heavy rainfall events can overwhelm local drainage systems, causing flash flooding in low-lying areas. Urban development and the increasing intensity of rainfall due to climate change are contributing factors to this risk.
Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and severe in Engadine. As average temperatures rise, vulnerable populations are at greater risk of heat-related illnesses. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.
While coastal risks are relatively low due to Engadine's distance from the coast, the suburb is still indirectly affected by climate change impacts such as rising insurance premiums and potential disruptions to infrastructure and supply chains. Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving drainage infrastructure, and implementing bushfire management plans.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Sutherland Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Engadine?
Engadine faces significant risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates bushfire danger, while heavy rainfall can cause flooding. Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense.
How is the Sutherland Shire Council addressing climate change?
The Sutherland Shire Council has implemented various initiatives to address climate change, including developing a climate strategy, improving drainage infrastructure, and promoting sustainable practices. The council also works with the community to raise awareness about climate risks and encourage preparedness.
What can residents do to prepare for bushfires in Engadine?
Residents can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around their homes, developing a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings. It is also important to have adequate insurance coverage and to follow the advice of emergency services during bushfire events.
What should I do during a heatwave in Engadine?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activities, and seek shelter in air-conditioned environments. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses, should take extra precautions to stay cool and avoid heat-related illnesses.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Engadine?
Information about flood risks in Engadine can be found on the Sutherland Shire Council website, which provides flood maps and other resources. The NSW State Emergency Service (SES) also provides information and assistance during flood events.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections