Climate Risk in Emerton, NSW
Emerton is a suburb in Western Sydney that faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with increasing trends due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also present. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Emerton Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Emerton, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Emerton
Flood
Emerton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Emerton has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Emerton is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Emerton is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Emerton
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Emerton is susceptible to heatwaves, particularly during the summer months. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and severity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Ageing population
flood Risk
Emerton faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Emerton is located inland and does not face a direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise or coastal erosion.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
Emerton has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of surrounding bushland. Hotter and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurers are likely to increase premiums in response to increased flood and heatwave risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and expand local drainage systems to mitigate flood risks.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to protect vulnerable populations.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreReduce Fuel Loads
Near-termImplement programs to reduce fuel loads in surrounding bushland to mitigate bushfire risks.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water conservation measures to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termRun community education programs on how to prepare for and respond to climate-related hazards.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Emerton's Climate Risk Profile
Emerton, located in the Blacktown area of Western Sydney, is subject to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. The suburb's location and urban development patterns contribute to these vulnerabilities.
Flooding is a significant concern due to the presence of local waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity, driven by climate change, is expected to exacerbate flood events. Inadequate drainage infrastructure in some areas further compounds the risk.
Heatwaves pose a substantial threat to Emerton, particularly during the summer months. The urban heat island effect, combined with rising temperatures, can lead to dangerous conditions for vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
While Emerton is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the suburb. Proactive adaptation measures are essential to mitigate these risks and enhance the community's resilience.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Blacktown City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Emerton?
The main climate risks in Emerton are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. Flooding is a concern due to local waterways, while heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable populations. Bushfire risk is present due to surrounding bushland.
How is Blacktown City Council addressing climate change?
Blacktown City Council has implemented various initiatives to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and developing a climate strategy.
What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?
Residents can prepare for heatwaves by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and checking on vulnerable neighbors. It is also important to follow the advice of health authorities.
What should I do during a flood?
During a flood, it is important to stay informed about the situation, avoid driving through floodwaters, and follow the instructions of emergency services. If your property is at risk, consider evacuating to a safer location.
How can I reduce my property's bushfire risk?
You can reduce your property's bushfire risk by maintaining your garden, clearing gutters of leaf litter, and ensuring that you have a bushfire survival plan in place.
Where can I find information about local emergency services?
Information about local emergency services can be found on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Emerton, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections