Climate Risk in Ellerslie, NSW
Ellerslie faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to increase these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.
Is Ellerslie Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Ellerslie, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Ellerslie
Flood
Ellerslie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Properties near waterways are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Ellerslie is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland being more susceptible. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Ellerslie experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, especially during the summer months. Vulnerable populations should take precautions during extreme heat events.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal risk is low due to Ellerslie's inland location.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Ellerslie
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Ellerslie experiences a moderate risk from heatwaves, especially during the summer months. Vulnerable populations should take precautions during extreme heat events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Ellerslie faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location and rainfall patterns. Properties near waterways are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Coastal risk is low due to Ellerslie's inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Ellerslie is moderate, with some areas bordering bushland being more susceptible. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared for bushfire season.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Home insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area maps.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain a building inspection report.
- 4.Review insurance options and costs.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Risk Reduction
Near-termUndertake controlled burns and vegetation management to reduce bushfire fuel loads.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCommunity Awareness Programs
Long-termEducate residents about climate risks and how to prepare for emergencies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Ellerslie's Climate Risk Profile
Ellerslie, NSW, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. The risk of flooding is driven by increased rainfall intensity and urban development, while heatwave risk is exacerbated by climate change and the urban heat island effect. Bushfire risk is influenced by dry vegetation and high temperatures.
Flooding can occur due to heavy rainfall events, causing damage to property and infrastructure. Heatwaves pose a threat to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. Bushfires can spread rapidly in dry conditions, threatening homes and lives.
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these hazards in the future. This means that Ellerslie will likely experience more severe floods, longer and hotter heatwaves, and an increased risk of bushfires. It is important for residents to take steps to adapt to these changes and prepare for potential disasters.
Local authorities are working to mitigate these risks through various strategies, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and providing support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves. However, individual action is also crucial. Residents can take steps to protect their homes from flooding and bushfires, conserve water during droughts, and stay informed about emergency warnings.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Example Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Ellerslie?
The main climate risks in Ellerslie are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.
How can I prepare for a flood in Ellerslie?
You can prepare for a flood by checking flood maps, elevating your appliances, and having an emergency plan.
What should I do during a heatwave in Ellerslie?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
How can I protect my home from bushfires in Ellerslie?
You can protect your home from bushfires by maintaining a defensible space, clearing gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Ellerslie?
You can find more information about climate change from the local council, the NSW government, and the CSIRO.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Ellerslie, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections