Climate Risk in Duval, NSW
Duval, NSW, faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Residents should prepare for these challenges.
Is Duval Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Duval, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Duval
Flood
Duval faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Duval has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is projected to worsen these conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Duval experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Duval is not exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Duval
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Duval experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves projected. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Duval faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events. The risk is expected to increase due to climate change.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Climate change
bushfire Risk
Duval has a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hot, dry conditions exacerbate the risk, and climate change is projected to worsen these conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
- ·Climate change
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the increasing risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Develop an emergency plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems and implement flood barriers to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateClear vegetation around properties, develop a bushfire survival plan, and install firebreaks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Management
Near-termProvide cooling centers for vulnerable populations and promote energy-efficient cooling strategies.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreWater Conservation
Long-termImplement water restrictions and promote water-efficient landscaping to conserve water resources during droughts.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Duval's Climate Risk Profile
Duval, located in the New England region of New South Wales, is susceptible to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding from heavy rainfall, bushfires due to dry vegetation and high temperatures, and heatwaves that can impact vulnerable populations.
The risk of flooding is moderate, with potential for flash flooding during intense rainfall events. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to a higher risk of flooding in the future. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have a plan in place.
Bushfire risk is high, especially during the summer months. The surrounding bushland provides ample fuel for fires, and hot, dry conditions can quickly escalate the risk. Climate change is expected to worsen these conditions, with longer fire seasons and more intense fires.
Heatwaves are also a concern, with average temperatures expected to rise in the coming years. This can lead to heat stress and other health problems, particularly for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.
While Duval is not located near the coast, it is still important to consider the broader impacts of climate change, such as changes in rainfall patterns and increased frequency of extreme weather events.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Armidale Regional Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Duval?
The main climate risks in Duval are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.
How can I prepare for flooding in Duval?
You can prepare for flooding by staying informed about flood warnings, having a flood plan in place, and protecting your property with flood barriers.
What should I do during a bushfire in Duval?
During a bushfire, follow your bushfire survival plan, stay informed about fire updates, and evacuate if necessary.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Duval?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and friends.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Duval?
The Armidale Regional Council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Duval, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections