Climate Risk Assessment: Durran Durra, NSW
Durran Durra faces increasing risks from bushfires, heatwaves and flooding. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these hazards, requiring proactive adaptation measures. The suburb's inland location mitigates coastal risks.
Is Durran Durra Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Durran Durra, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Durran Durra
Flood
Durran Durra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. Local topography can exacerbate flood conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
Bushfire
The area surrounding Durran Durra is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry periods and heatwaves. The risk is elevated due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing wind patterns.
Key drivers:
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
Heat
Durran Durra is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Given its inland location, Durran Durra has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Durran Durra
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Durran Durra is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Durran Durra faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and nearby waterways. Local topography can exacerbate flood conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in land use
- ·Aging infrastructure
coastal Risk
Given its inland location, Durran Durra has a very low risk of coastal hazards.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from coast
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Durran Durra is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry periods and heatwaves. The risk is elevated due to the proximity of bushland and prevailing wind patterns.
Primary Drivers
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
- ·Higher temperatures
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risks of bushfires and floods.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood and bushfire risk maps
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves
- 3.Review insurance options and costs
- 4.Consider long-term climate projections
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement community education programs, conduct regular hazard reduction burns, and ensure adequate firebreaks around properties.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreUpgrade Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termInvest in improved drainage systems to mitigate the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers, provide public health advice, and ensure access to water during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage water-wise gardening practices and implement water restrictions during dry periods.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Durran Durra's Climate Risk Profile
Durran Durra, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding, all of which are projected to intensify in the coming decades.
Bushfire risk is a significant concern due to the surrounding bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to property and human life. Residents should be prepared for potential evacuations and property protection measures.
Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and severe, particularly during the summer months. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Access to cooling centers and adequate hydration are crucial during these events.
Flooding is another concern, with heavy rainfall events capable of causing significant damage. Improved drainage infrastructure and flood mitigation measures are necessary to reduce the impact of flooding. Residents should be aware of flood risks and have appropriate insurance coverage.
While Durran Durra is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change will affect the region. Adaptation measures are essential to build resilience and protect the community from the growing risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Durran Durra?
The main risks are increased bushfire danger, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a higher risk of flooding due to heavy rainfall.
How will climate change affect property values in Durran Durra?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased insurance costs and potential damage from climate-related events.
What can I do to prepare my home for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, install fire-resistant materials, and develop a bushfire survival plan.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
Contact your local council or the NSW State Emergency Service for information about flood risks and flood maps.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Durran Durra, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections