Climate Risk Assessment for Dunmore, NSW

Dunmore, New South Wales· Shellharbour· 2529
Updated May 2026

Dunmore, NSW, faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change. While bushfire risk is relatively lower, it is still expected to increase. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider adaptation measures.

Is Dunmore Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Dunmore, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Dunmore

Flood

Dunmore faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Dunmore is relatively low due to the cleared land and distance from dense bushland. However, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Dunmore is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Dunmore faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and potential storm surges. Coastal erosion could impact infrastructure and property values.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

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Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Dunmore

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Dunmore is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Dunmore faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Dunmore faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and potential storm surges. Coastal erosion could impact infrastructure and property values.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Dunmore is relatively low due to the cleared land and distance from dense bushland. However, hotter and drier conditions could increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and coastal erosion zones.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation.
  • 4.Review insurance coverage for climate-related hazards.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood mitigation infrastructure, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Protection

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to reduce the impact of sea level rise and storm surges.

Est. cost: Very High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Dunmore's Climate Risk Profile

Dunmore is a suburb in the Shellharbour region of New South Wales, Australia. The area is characterized by a mix of residential, commercial, and agricultural land use, with proximity to the coast and waterways.

Climate change is expected to bring significant challenges to Dunmore. Increased rainfall intensity will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding, particularly in low-lying areas. Sea level rise and storm surges pose a threat to coastal infrastructure and properties.

Heatwaves are projected to become more common and intense, impacting public health and infrastructure. While the bushfire risk is currently moderate, hotter and drier conditions could increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Adapting to these changes will require a combination of individual actions, community initiatives, and government policies. This includes investing in flood mitigation infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting sustainable land management practices. Residents should also take steps to protect their homes and businesses from climate-related hazards.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Dunmore?

The main climate change risks in Dunmore include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Dunmore?

Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or coastal erosion, may experience price stagnation or decline.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

You can implement flood mitigation measures, such as installing flood barriers, raising electrical outlets, and improving drainage around your property.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Dunmore?

You can find more information on the Shellharbour City Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Dunmore, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Dunmore's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Dunmore, NSW | ClimateNest