Climate Risk in Dunbogan, New South Wales
Dunbogan is a coastal suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly through increased rainfall intensity, rising temperatures, and sea level rise. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Dunbogan Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Dunbogan, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Dunbogan
Flood
Dunbogan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Camden Haven River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The area around Dunbogan has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Dunbogan is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Dunbogan faces a moderate risk from coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Dunbogan
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Dunbogan is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, especially during summer months.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Dunbogan faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Camden Haven River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Riverine flooding
coastal Risk
Dunbogan faces a moderate risk from coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
bushfire Risk
The area around Dunbogan has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land overlays.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Develop an emergency plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to protect low-lying areas from flooding, such as levees and drainage improvements.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Bushfire Management Plans
ImmediateDevelop and implement bushfire management plans to reduce the risk of bushfires impacting properties.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plans
Near-termEstablish heatwave response plans to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImplement Coastal Management Strategies
Long-termImplement coastal management strategies to address coastal erosion and inundation, such as beach nourishment and dune stabilization.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termEducate the community about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Dunbogan's Climate Risk Profile
Dunbogan, located on the Mid North Coast of New South Wales, is a picturesque suburb known for its beaches and relaxed lifestyle. However, like many coastal communities, Dunbogan is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.
The primary climate risks facing Dunbogan include flooding from the Camden Haven River, bushfires due to surrounding bushland, heatwaves during the summer months, and coastal erosion and inundation from rising sea levels. These risks are projected to intensify in the coming decades as the climate continues to change.
Increased rainfall intensity is expected to increase the risk of flooding, particularly in low-lying areas. Hotter, drier conditions will likely lead to more frequent and intense bushfires. Rising average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves will pose a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. Sea level rise will exacerbate coastal erosion and inundation, potentially impacting property and infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. Adaptation strategies may include improving flood defenses, implementing bushfire management plans, and developing heatwave response plans. Mitigation efforts will focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change. Community engagement and awareness are also crucial to building resilience to climate change impacts.
Residents of Dunbogan should stay informed about climate risks and take steps to prepare for extreme weather events. This includes having an emergency plan, maintaining insurance coverage, and participating in community resilience initiatives.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Port Macquarie-Hastings Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Dunbogan?
The main climate change risks for Dunbogan include flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion and inundation.
How will climate change affect property values in Dunbogan?
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions due to increased climate risks.
What can I do to prepare for climate change impacts in Dunbogan?
You can develop an emergency plan, maintain insurance coverage, and participate in community resilience initiatives.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Dunbogan?
You can find information about flood risks on the Port Macquarie-Hastings Council website.
How is the council addressing climate change in Dunbogan?
The council is implementing climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, including upgrading flood defenses and developing bushfire management plans.
What kind of insurance should I have in Dunbogan considering the climate risks?
You should ensure your insurance covers flood, fire, and storm damage, and that you understand the policy's exclusions and limitations.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Dunbogan, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections