Climate Risk Profile: Doubtful Creek, NSW

Doubtful Creek, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Doubtful Creek faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. Bushfire risk is also a concern. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.

Is Doubtful Creek Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Doubtful Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Doubtful Creek

Flood

Doubtful Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location within a floodplain and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

The area around Doubtful Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures

Heat

Doubtful Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Doubtful Creek is not exposed to coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Doubtful Creek

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Doubtful Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures will increase the risk of heat stress, particularly for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Doubtful Creek faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its location within a floodplain and proximity to waterways. Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Floodplain location
Data source

coastal Risk

Doubtful Creek is not exposed to coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Doubtful Creek has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are projected to increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Surrounding vegetation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency
  • 4.Review insurance options

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and construct levees to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Develop a Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation

Near-term

Undertake vegetation management and improve building standards to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Doubtful Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Doubtful Creek, located in New South Wales, is projected to experience significant impacts from climate change. The primary concerns are increased flooding risk due to more intense rainfall events and rising average temperatures leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves.

The risk of flooding is exacerbated by the suburb's proximity to waterways and its location within a floodplain. Climate models predict an increase in extreme rainfall events, which will likely lead to more frequent and severe flooding.

Rising temperatures will also pose a significant challenge. The number of days exceeding 35°C is expected to increase, placing vulnerable populations at greater risk of heat stress. Bushfire risk is also projected to increase due to drier conditions and higher temperatures.

While Doubtful Creek is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader regional impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to infrastructure and supply chains, could indirectly affect the suburb. Residents and local authorities should take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Doubtful Creek?

The main risks are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, more frequent and severe heatwaves, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Doubtful Creek?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price stagnation or decline. Increased insurance premiums are also likely.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing a climate adaptation strategy to mitigate the impacts of climate change. Check the council website for updates.

How can I prepare my home for more frequent heatwaves?

Install air conditioning or fans, improve insulation, and plant trees to provide shade. Stay hydrated and avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

What should I do during a flood?

Stay informed about weather warnings, move valuables to higher ground, and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Follow the instructions of emergency services.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Doubtful Creek, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Doubtful Creek's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Doubtful Creek, NSW | ClimateNest