Climate Risk in Crowdy Bay National Park, NSW

Crowdy Bay National Park, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Crowdy Bay National Park faces increasing climate risks, particularly from bushfires, floods, and heatwaves. The area's coastal location also makes it vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Residents and visitors should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Crowdy Bay National Park Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Crowdy Bay National Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Crowdy Bay National Park

Flood

Crowdy Bay National Park faces a moderate risk of flooding. This risk is primarily due to heavy rainfall events and proximity to waterways.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The national park has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of dense vegetation and dry conditions, especially during the summer months.

Key drivers:

  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Crowdy Bay National Park is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to both residents and the natural environment.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

As a coastal area, Crowdy Bay National Park is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Crowdy Bay National Park

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Crowdy Bay National Park is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to both residents and the natural environment.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Crowdy Bay National Park faces a moderate risk of flooding. This risk is primarily due to heavy rainfall events and proximity to waterways.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

coastal Risk

As a coastal area, Crowdy Bay National Park is vulnerable to coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise and storm surges.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

The national park has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of dense vegetation and dry conditions, especially during the summer months.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the increasing climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider the long-term climate risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Strengthen Bushfire Defenses

Immediate

Implement controlled burns and create firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires spreading into populated areas. Improve early warning systems and evacuation plans.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Improve Flood Management

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and construct seawalls to protect against flooding and coastal erosion. Implement land-use planning policies that restrict development in high-risk areas.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Heatwave Preparedness

Near-term

Develop heatwave action plans and establish cooling centers for vulnerable populations. Promote water conservation and energy efficiency to reduce the urban heat island effect.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Ecosystems

Long-term

Restore and protect coastal wetlands and dunes to provide natural buffers against coastal erosion and storm surges. Implement policies to reduce pollution and protect marine biodiversity.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Crowdy Bay National Park's Climate Risk Profile

Crowdy Bay National Park is a coastal area in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to intensify in the coming decades due to rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise.

The bushfire risk is particularly high due to the presence of dense vegetation and dry conditions. Increased temperatures and prolonged droughts are expected to exacerbate this risk, leading to more frequent and intense bushfires. Flooding is also a concern, especially during heavy rainfall events and storm surges. The low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to human health and the natural environment. The rising temperatures can also lead to increased evaporation and drier conditions, further exacerbating the bushfire risk. Sea level rise is another significant threat, leading to coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation measures. Mitigation efforts aim to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and slow down the rate of climate change. Adaptation measures focus on reducing the vulnerability of communities and ecosystems to the impacts of climate change. These measures include improving building codes, enhancing emergency response capabilities, and protecting coastal ecosystems.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Crowdy Bay National Park?

The main climate change risks include bushfires, flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to intensify in the coming decades due to rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and sea level rise.

How will climate change affect property values in Crowdy Bay National Park?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value due to the increasing climate risks. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts?

Residents can take steps to strengthen their homes against bushfires and floods, develop emergency plans, and conserve water and energy. It is also important to stay informed about the latest climate projections and adaptation measures.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

MidCoast Council is developing and implementing climate change strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. These strategies include improving infrastructure, protecting coastal ecosystems, and promoting sustainable development.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Crowdy Bay National Park?

You can find more information on the MidCoast Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Crowdy Bay National Park, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Crowdy Bay National Park's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Crowdy Bay National Park, NSW | ClimateNest