Climate Risk in Coonabarabran, New South Wales

Coonabarabran, New South Wales· 2357
Updated Apr 2026

Coonabarabran faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. The town is located inland, so coastal risks are negligible. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Coonabarabran Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Coonabarabran, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Coonabarabran

Flood

Coonabarabran faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow

Bushfire

The area around Coonabarabran is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather, posing a significant threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Coonabarabran experiences hot summers, and climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Coonabarabran is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Coonabarabran

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Coonabarabran experiences hot summers, and climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Coonabarabran faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and historical flood events. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·River overflow
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Coonabarabran is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.

Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Coonabarabran is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry periods. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire weather, posing a significant threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of flooding and bushfires.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Upgrade drainage infrastructure and construct levees to protect low-lying areas from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement fuel reduction programs, improve firebreaks, and educate residents on bushfire safety.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers, provide public health advice, and ensure access to water during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water restrictions, encourage water-efficient landscaping, and invest in water recycling infrastructure.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

About Coonabarabran's Climate Risk Profile

Coonabarabran, located in the central west of New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate-related hazards. The region has historically experienced flooding due to heavy rainfall and river overflow. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, with projections indicating more intense rainfall events and prolonged periods of drought, increasing the likelihood of both floods and bushfires.

Bushfire risk is a significant concern for Coonabarabran, particularly during the dry summer months. The surrounding landscape provides ample fuel for fires, and rising temperatures and drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and severity of bushfires in the future. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are also a growing concern for Coonabarabran. The town already experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Access to cooling centers and adequate hydration are crucial during these events.

While Coonabarabran is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to agriculture and water resources, could indirectly affect the town and its economy. Adapting to these changes will require a coordinated effort from local government, businesses, and residents.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Coonabarabran?

The main climate change risks for Coonabarabran are increased flooding, more frequent and intense bushfires, and more severe heatwaves.

How will climate change affect property values in Coonabarabran?

Properties in high-risk areas, such as those prone to flooding or bushfires, may experience a decrease in value.

What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Coonabarabran?

You can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, developing a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Coonabarabran?

You can find information about flood risks on the Warrumbungle Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Coonabarabran?

You can stay safe during a heatwave by staying hydrated, seeking air-conditioned environments, and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Coonabarabran, use our analysis tool.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections