Climate Risk in Connells Point, NSW
Connells Point faces increasing risks from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards due to climate change. Sea level rise and more intense rainfall events pose significant threats to properties and infrastructure. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Connells Point Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Connells Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Connells Point
Flood
Connells Point is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Connells Point faces some bushfire risk due to nearby vegetation and potential ember attack.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
Heat
Connells Point is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Connells Point is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion, threatening properties and infrastructure along the Georges River.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Connells Point
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Connells Point is projected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, impacting vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Connells Point is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to the Georges River and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Connells Point is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion, threatening properties and infrastructure along the Georges River.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
- ·Erosion
bushfire Risk
While not immediately adjacent to large bushland areas, Connells Point faces some bushfire risk due to nearby vegetation and potential ember attack.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High winds
- ·Increased temperatures
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums are likely to increase due to flood and coastal risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Investigate coastal erosion risks.
- 4.Review council's climate adaptation plans.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade Flood Defenses
Near-termInvest in seawalls and drainage improvements to protect properties from rising sea levels and increased rainfall.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heat Action Plan
ImmediateDevelop a community-based heat action plan to protect vulnerable residents during heatwaves, including cooling centers and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreStrengthen Building Codes
Near-termUpdate building codes to require new construction and renovations to be more resilient to flooding, heat, and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreCoastal Management Strategy
Long-termDevelop and implement a comprehensive coastal management strategy to address erosion and protect coastal assets.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreAbout Connells Point's Climate Risk Profile
Connells Point, located on the Georges River, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall and storm surges, heatwaves with rising temperatures, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.
Flooding is a major concern, with low-lying areas along the riverfront particularly susceptible. Climate change is expected to increase the intensity of rainfall events, leading to more frequent and severe flooding. Sea level rise will further exacerbate this risk, pushing floodwaters higher and further inland.
Heatwaves are also becoming more common and intense, posing a threat to public health, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses. The urban heat island effect can amplify these impacts, making Connells Point hotter than surrounding areas.
Coastal erosion is another significant risk, with sea level rise threatening to erode shorelines and damage properties along the Georges River. Increased storm surges can also cause significant damage to coastal infrastructure.
Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation measures. This includes investing in flood defenses, improving building codes to withstand extreme weather events, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Georges River Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Connells Point?
The main risks are flooding from increased rainfall and sea level rise, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal erosion.
How will sea level rise affect Connells Point?
Sea level rise will increase the risk of coastal flooding and erosion, potentially damaging properties and infrastructure along the Georges River.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
Georges River Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including flood management plans and heatwave response programs.
How can I prepare my home for increased heatwaves?
Consider installing insulation, air conditioning, and shading to reduce heat exposure. Also, develop a plan for staying cool during heatwaves.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Connells Point?
You can find flood maps and information on the Georges River Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections