Climate Risk Assessment for Conjola, NSW

Conjola, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Conjola is a suburb in New South Wales that faces significant climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are projected to worsen in the coming decades. Coastal erosion and inundation also pose a threat due to sea level rise.

Is Conjola Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Conjola, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Conjola

Flood

Conjola faces a high risk of flooding due to its proximity to Conjola Lake and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to significant inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area surrounding Conjola is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. The risk is exacerbated by the presence of dense vegetation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation

Heat

Conjola experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Conjola faces coastal risks including erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The proximity to Conjola Lake and the ocean makes it vulnerable.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Conjola

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Conjola experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Conjola faces a high risk of flooding due to its proximity to Conjola Lake and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to significant inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Conjola faces coastal risks including erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. The proximity to Conjola Lake and the ocean makes it vulnerable.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm surge
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area surrounding Conjola is prone to bushfires, particularly during dry and windy conditions. The risk is exacerbated by the presence of dense vegetation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Drier vegetation
  • ·Stronger winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted in high-risk areas.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
  • 4.Consider the cost of insurance and potential increases.
  • 5.Evaluate the property's energy efficiency and cooling options.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to better manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management Strategies

Immediate

Conduct regular hazard reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a Heatwave Management Plan

Near-term

Establish cooling centers and provide public education on heatwave safety.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect Coastal Areas

Long-term

Implement coastal protection measures such as seawalls and beach nourishment to mitigate erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Conjola's Climate Risk Profile

Conjola, located in New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's low-lying geography and proximity to Conjola Lake and the coast make it particularly susceptible to flooding and coastal erosion.

Bushfire risk is also a major concern, with the surrounding bushland creating a high-risk environment during dry periods. The combination of increased temperatures and drier conditions is expected to exacerbate bushfire frequency and intensity.

Heatwaves are becoming more common and severe, posing a threat to the health and well-being of residents, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. The urban heat island effect can further amplify these risks.

Sea level rise is another significant threat, potentially leading to increased coastal erosion and inundation of low-lying areas. This could have significant impacts on property values and infrastructure. Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate these risks and protect the community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Conjola?

The main risks are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

How is the council preparing for climate change?

The Shoalhaven City Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address these risks.

What can residents do to prepare for floods?

Residents should have an emergency plan, know their flood risk, and ensure they have adequate insurance coverage.

How can I protect my home from bushfires?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain firebreaks, and have a bushfire survival plan.

Where can I find information about emergency services in Conjola?

Information about emergency services can be found on the NSW Emergency Services website.

What is the projected sea level rise in Conjola by 2050?

Sea level rise is projected to increase, potentially impacting low-lying coastal areas. Check the NSW Government's climate change website for specific projections.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Conjola, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections