Climate Risk Profile: Commissioners Creek, NSW

Commissioners Creek, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Commissioners Creek faces increasing risks from bushfires, floods, and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb's proximity to bushland elevates bushfire danger, while increased rainfall intensity contributes to flood risk. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Commissioners Creek Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Commissioners Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Commissioners Creek

Flood

Flooding is a moderate concern in Commissioners Creek, with potential for riverine and flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

Bushfire risk is relatively high in Commissioners Creek due to the proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load

Heat

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Commissioners Creek, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risks are minimal in Commissioners Creek due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Commissioners Creek

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Commissioners Creek, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Flooding is a moderate concern in Commissioners Creek, with potential for riverine and flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are minimal in Commissioners Creek due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
Data source

bushfire Risk

Bushfire risk is relatively high in Commissioners Creek due to the proximity to bushland and prevailing weather conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the elevated risk of bushfire and flooding.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks, particularly bushfire and flood.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check bushfire and flood risk maps.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Review insurance coverage and premiums.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Create a detailed plan for evacuating your property in the event of a bushfire, including designated escape routes and emergency supplies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Home Insulation

Near-term

Insulate your home to reduce energy consumption and maintain a comfortable indoor temperature during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Install Rainwater Tanks

Near-term

Collect rainwater for non-potable uses, such as gardening and toilet flushing, to reduce reliance on mains water during droughts.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Support Local Climate Action Initiatives

Long-term

Participate in community-based initiatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and promote climate resilience.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Commissioners Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Commissioners Creek, like many areas in New South Wales, is experiencing the effects of a changing climate. The primary concerns for this suburb are related to bushfire, flooding, and heatwaves. Climate projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades.

Bushfire risk is a significant factor due to the surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and prolonged heatwaves increase the likelihood of bushfires, threatening homes and infrastructure. Residents should maintain their properties and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.

Flooding is another concern, with potential for both riverine and flash flooding. Increased rainfall intensity can overwhelm drainage systems and cause damage to property. It is important to stay informed about flood warnings and take appropriate precautions.

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a health risk to vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly and those with pre-existing medical conditions. Staying cool and hydrated during heatwaves is crucial.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness, community action, and government policies. By working together, residents of Commissioners Creek can build resilience and adapt to the challenges of a changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Commissioners Creek?

The primary climate change risks in Commissioners Creek are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns.

How can I prepare my home for a bushfire?

To prepare your home for a bushfire, clear vegetation around your property, maintain your gutters, and develop a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you have adequate insurance coverage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about local flood risks?

Information about local flood risks can be found on the NSW State Emergency Service website and through local council resources. Stay informed about flood warnings and evacuation procedures.

How will climate change affect property values in Commissioners Creek?

Climate change may affect property values in Commissioners Creek due to increased risks of bushfire and flooding. Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decline in value.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Commissioners Creek, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Commissioners Creek's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections