Climate Risk Profile: Come By Chance, NSW
Come By Chance faces significant risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to worsen with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Come By Chance Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Come By Chance, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Come By Chance
Flood
Come By Chance is prone to flooding due to its location within the floodplain of the Barwon River. Riverine flooding can inundate properties and disrupt infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow patterns
Bushfire
The area surrounding Come By Chance has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of grasslands and woodlands. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Higher temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Come By Chance experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
Coastal
Come By Chance is located inland and does not face any direct coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Come By Chance
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Come By Chance experiences hot summers, and climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·More frequent heatwaves
flood Risk
Come By Chance is prone to flooding due to its location within the floodplain of the Barwon River. Riverine flooding can inundate properties and disrupt infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Changes in river flow patterns
bushfire Risk
The area surrounding Come By Chance has a high bushfire risk due to the presence of grasslands and woodlands. Hot, dry summers increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Higher temperatures
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·Increased frequency of extreme weather events
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the high risk of flooding and bushfires.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
- 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
- 4.Develop a bushfire survival plan.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Defenses
Near-termConstruct levees and improve drainage systems to protect properties from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreEnhance Bushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as clearing vegetation around properties and developing community evacuation plans.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a Heatwave Management Plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide support for vulnerable residents during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termImplement water-saving measures to address drought conditions and ensure water security.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation strategies through workshops and outreach programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Come By Chance's Climate Risk Profile
Come By Chance is a small rural community in New South Wales that is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The region is prone to flooding due to its location on the floodplain of the Barwon River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events.
The area also faces a high risk of bushfires, especially during the hot, dry summer months. Rising temperatures and drier vegetation increase the likelihood of bushfires, which can threaten lives and property. Residents should be aware of bushfire risks and have a plan in place.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Come By Chance. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, which can pose a serious health risk, particularly for the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
While Come By Chance is not directly exposed to coastal hazards, the broader impacts of climate change, such as disruptions to supply chains and increased migration, could indirectly affect the community. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive measures to adapt to these changing conditions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Walgett Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Come By Chance?
The main climate change risks in Come By Chance are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to become more frequent and intense in the future.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by raising electrical appliances, storing valuables above flood level, and having a flood emergency plan.
What should I do during a bushfire?
During a bushfire, follow your bushfire survival plan, stay informed about the fire's progress, and evacuate if necessary.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity, and seek shelter in a cool place.
What is the Walgett Shire Council doing to address climate change?
The Walgett Shire Council is developing climate adaptation strategies and working to improve community resilience to climate change impacts.
Where can I find more information about emergency preparedness?
You can find more information about emergency preparedness on the NSW State Emergency Service (SES) website and the NSW Rural Fire Service (RFS) website.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections