Climate Risk Profile: Coalcliff, NSW
Coalcliff is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves and coastal erosion, which are projected to worsen in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these hazards.
Is Coalcliff Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Coalcliff, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Coalcliff
Flood
Coalcliff has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the coast and waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Coalcliff faces a high risk of bushfires due to its location near bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Coalcliff experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coalcliff is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. These hazards can impact infrastructure and property along the coastline.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Coalcliff
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Coalcliff experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves expected in the future.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Coalcliff has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the coast and waterways. Intense rainfall events can lead to flash flooding and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Coalcliff is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion. These hazards can impact infrastructure and property along the coastline.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Coalcliff faces a high risk of bushfires due to its location near bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to coastal erosion.
- 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for increased premiums.
- 4.Inquire about council plans for climate adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to reduce the risk of flash flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire management strategies
ImmediateConduct regular fuel reduction burns and maintain firebreaks to reduce the risk of bushfires spreading to residential areas.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave response plan
Near-termEstablish cooling centers and provide information to residents on how to stay safe during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImplement coastal protection measures
Long-termConstruct seawalls and other coastal defenses to protect infrastructure and property from erosion and sea level rise.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures through workshops and online resources.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Coalcliff's Climate Risk Profile
Coalcliff is a coastal suburb located in New South Wales, known for its beautiful beaches and natural surroundings. However, the suburb is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change.
Flooding is a significant concern in Coalcliff, with the potential for both flash flooding and riverine flooding during heavy rainfall events. Sea level rise is also expected to exacerbate coastal flooding.
Bushfires pose a serious threat to Coalcliff, particularly during the summer months. The suburb's proximity to bushland increases the risk of fire spreading to residential areas.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Coalcliff, posing health risks to vulnerable populations. The urban heat island effect can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.
Coastal erosion is an ongoing issue in Coalcliff, threatening infrastructure and property along the coastline. Sea level rise and increased storm intensity are expected to worsen erosion rates.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Wollongong City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Coalcliff?
The main climate change risks in Coalcliff are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to rising temperatures, sea level rise, and more extreme weather events.
How will sea level rise affect Coalcliff?
Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate coastal erosion and increase the risk of coastal flooding in Coalcliff. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
What can I do to prepare for bushfires in Coalcliff?
You can prepare for bushfires by clearing vegetation around your home, having a bushfire survival plan, and staying informed about fire danger ratings.
Where can I find information about flood risks in Coalcliff?
You can find information about flood risks in Coalcliff on the Wollongong City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Coalcliff?
Wollongong City Council is implementing a range of measures to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, managing bushfire risks, and developing a heatwave response plan.
Are there any community groups in Coalcliff focused on climate action?
Yes, there are several local community groups focused on environmental sustainability and climate action. Check the Wollongong City Council website for a list of local groups.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections