Climate Risk in Clarence, NSW

Clarence, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Clarence faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly through increased rainfall intensity, rising temperatures, and sea level rise. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Clarence Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Clarence, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Clarence

Flood

Clarence faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The risk of bushfires in Clarence is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Clarence is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Rising temperatures pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Clarence faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including erosion and inundation, due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise is expected to worsen these risks.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Clarence

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Clarence is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Rising temperatures pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Clarence faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and rising sea levels are expected to exacerbate this risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Clarence faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including erosion and inundation, due to its proximity to the coast. Sea level rise is expected to worsen these risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Coastal erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The risk of bushfires in Clarence is moderate, influenced by surrounding bushland and dry conditions. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfire events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to the rising risk of climate-related disasters.

Price Impact

Properties in areas at high risk of flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone land overlays.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Inquire about past flood or bushfire events.
  • 4.Review insurance options and premiums.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risks, such as levees, drainage systems, and flood-resistant building designs.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns, vegetation clearing, and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations, including establishing cooling centers and providing public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Plan for Sea Level Rise

Long-term

Develop a coastal management plan to address the impacts of sea level rise, including protecting coastal infrastructure and ecosystems.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Clarence's Climate Risk Profile

Clarence is a suburb in New South Wales that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. Its location near waterways and bushland makes it vulnerable to flooding and bushfires. The increasing frequency and intensity of heatwaves also pose a significant threat to the community.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will worsen in the coming decades. Rising temperatures, changes in rainfall patterns, and sea level rise are expected to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities. This could lead to increased damage to property, disruption to infrastructure, and negative impacts on human health.

Flooding is a major concern for Clarence, with the potential for significant damage to homes and businesses. Bushfires can also pose a serious threat, particularly during dry periods. Heatwaves can lead to heat stress and other health problems, especially for vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with chronic illnesses.

Coastal hazards, including erosion and inundation, are also a concern for Clarence. Sea level rise is expected to worsen these risks, potentially leading to the loss of coastal land and infrastructure. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to take proactive steps to adapt to these changing conditions and mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Clarence?

Clarence faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Clarence?

Properties in areas at high risk of flooding or bushfires may experience a decrease in value. Insurance premiums are also likely to increase.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Clarence?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Clarence?

Contact your local council or the NSW State Emergency Service for information about flood risks and flood maps.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in Clarence?

Maintain your property by clearing vegetation around your home, and have a bushfire survival plan in place. Stay informed about fire danger ratings and warnings.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Clarence, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Clarence's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk in Clarence, NSW | ClimateNest