Climate Risk Profile: Cheero Point, NSW

Cheero Point, New South Wales· 2250
Updated May 2026

Cheero Point faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the coming decades. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.

Is Cheero Point Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Cheero Point, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Cheero Point

Flood

Cheero Point is at moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hawkesbury River and local creeks. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Cheero Point has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Cheero Point is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Cheero Point faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surge. This could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Cheero Point

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Cheero Point is expected to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Cheero Point is at moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Hawkesbury River and local creeks. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
Data source

coastal Risk

Cheero Point faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surge. This could lead to erosion and inundation of low-lying areas.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

Cheero Point has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums are likely to increase due to climate change risks.

Price Impact

Property values in vulnerable areas may be negatively impacted by climate change.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and building standards.
  • 3.Consider the potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Upgrade Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in flood defenses, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect properties from flooding.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Improve Building Standards

Immediate

Implement stricter building standards to ensure that new buildings are resilient to extreme weather events, such as floods, bushfires, and heatwaves.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Early Warning System

Near-term

Establish a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Implement Coastal Management Plan

Long-term

Develop and implement a coastal management plan to address the risks of sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Run community education programs to raise awareness of climate change risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Cheero Point's Climate Risk Profile

Cheero Point, located in New South Wales, is vulnerable to a range of climate change impacts. The suburb's proximity to the Hawkesbury River increases its flood risk, which is expected to worsen with increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise. Heatwaves are also a significant concern, posing a threat to vulnerable populations. Coastal hazards, such as erosion and inundation, are also expected to increase due to sea level rise and storm surge.

The risk of bushfires is also present due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to property and human life.

To mitigate these risks, residents and local authorities should take steps to adapt to climate change. This includes investing in flood defenses, improving building standards to withstand extreme weather events, and implementing heatwave early warning systems. It is also important to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to slow the pace of climate change.

Understanding these risks and taking proactive measures is crucial for ensuring the long-term sustainability and resilience of Cheero Point.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks facing Cheero Point?

Cheero Point faces risks from flooding, heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal hazards, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.

How will climate change affect property values in Cheero Point?

Property values in vulnerable areas may be negatively impacted by climate change due to increased risks of flooding, bushfires, and coastal erosion.

What can I do to protect my home from flooding?

Consider installing flood barriers, raising electrical appliances, and improving drainage around your property.

How can I prepare for a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

Hornsby Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies, including flood management plans and community education programs.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Cheero Point?

You can find more information on the Hornsby Shire Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Cheero Point, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections