Climate Risk Profile: Charlotte Bay, NSW

Charlotte Bay, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Charlotte Bay is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks. The primary concerns are flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire and coastal risks also present. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Charlotte Bay Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Charlotte Bay, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Charlotte Bay

Flood

Charlotte Bay is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area around Charlotte Bay has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Charlotte Bay experiences moderately high temperatures during summer. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Charlotte Bay faces some coastal risks, including erosion and inundation, due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate these issues.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Charlotte Bay

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Charlotte Bay experiences moderately high temperatures during summer. Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Charlotte Bay is susceptible to flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Heavy rainfall events can lead to riverine and flash flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Charlotte Bay faces some coastal risks, including erosion and inundation, due to its proximity to the coastline. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate these issues.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Charlotte Bay has some bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hot, dry conditions can increase the likelihood of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Wind
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Consider energy efficiency upgrades to mitigate heat risk.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve stormwater drainage

Near-term

Upgrade stormwater infrastructure to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop a heatwave response plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach programs.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen bushfire preparedness

Near-term

Provide residents with information and resources to prepare for bushfires, including creating a bushfire survival plan and maintaining their properties.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Protect coastal areas

Long-term

Implement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and inundation, such as building seawalls and restoring natural habitats.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Charlotte Bay's Climate Risk Profile

Charlotte Bay, NSW, is an area that will likely experience increased climate-related challenges in the coming decades. The suburb's location makes it vulnerable to flooding from heavy rainfall and rising sea levels. Heatwaves are also projected to become more frequent and intense, posing health risks, especially for the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.

Bushfire risk is a concern, particularly during dry periods. While not as immediate a threat as flooding or heat, residents should remain vigilant and prepared, especially during the bushfire season.

Coastal erosion and inundation are also potential issues for Charlotte Bay, although the immediate impact may be less severe than other risks. Long-term planning should consider the potential for sea level rise and its effects on coastal infrastructure and property.

Addressing these climate risks will require a combination of individual preparedness, community resilience initiatives, and government policies. Residents can take steps to protect their homes and health, while local authorities can implement measures to mitigate the impacts of climate change. Collaboration and proactive planning are essential to ensure a sustainable future for Charlotte Bay.

Understanding the specific risks and taking appropriate action will help to minimize the potential impacts of climate change on Charlotte Bay and its residents. Staying informed about the latest climate projections and adaptation strategies is crucial for building a resilient community.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Charlotte Bay?

The main climate risks facing Charlotte Bay are flooding, heatwaves, bushfires, and coastal erosion.

How will climate change affect property values in Charlotte Bay?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Charlotte Bay?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors during heatwaves.

Where can I find information about bushfire preparedness in Charlotte Bay?

Visit the NSW Rural Fire Service website for information and resources on bushfire preparedness.

How is the local council addressing climate change in Charlotte Bay?

The local council is developing a climate strategy to mitigate the impacts of climate change and build a more resilient community.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Charlotte Bay, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Charlotte Bay's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Charlotte Bay, NSW | ClimateNest