Climate Risk in Charleys Forest, New South Wales

Charleys Forest, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Charleys Forest faces moderate climate risks, primarily from bushfires and heatwaves. The area is also susceptible to flooding during heavy rainfall events. Residents should prepare for increasing temperatures and potential disruptions from extreme weather.

Is Charleys Forest Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Charleys Forest, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Charleys Forest

Flood

Charleys Forest faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is influenced by the local topography and drainage patterns.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Charleys Forest is high due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions during the fire season. The risk is exacerbated by climate change, leading to longer and more intense fire seasons.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Charleys Forest experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

As an inland suburb, Charleys Forest has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Charleys Forest

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Charleys Forest experiences moderate heat risk, with increasing average temperatures and more frequent heatwave events. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Charleys Forest faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential riverine flooding. The risk is influenced by the local topography and drainage patterns.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Changes in land use
  • ·Aging infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

As an inland suburb, Charleys Forest has a very low direct risk from coastal hazards such as sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Charleys Forest is high due to its proximity to bushland and prevailing dry conditions during the fire season. The risk is exacerbated by climate change, leading to longer and more intense fire seasons.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by increasing climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heat
  • 3.Review insurance options
  • 4.Consider long-term climate risks

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Develop a Bushfire Survival Plan

Immediate

Create a detailed plan for evacuating your property during a bushfire, including designated meeting points and emergency supplies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Improve Home Cooling

Near-term

Install air conditioning or fans to maintain a comfortable indoor temperature during heatwaves. Consider energy-efficient options.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Infrastructure

Long-term

Improve local drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Near-term

Implement community education programs to raise awareness about climate risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Charleys Forest's Climate Risk Profile

Charleys Forest, located in New South Wales, is subject to a range of climate-related risks that are expected to intensify in the coming decades. The primary concerns for this area include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding.

The risk of bushfires is particularly significant due to the suburb's proximity to extensive bushland. Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to properties and human safety. Residents should maintain awareness of fire danger ratings and have evacuation plans in place.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and severe, impacting vulnerable populations such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Rising average temperatures can lead to heat stress and strain on infrastructure. It is important to stay hydrated and seek cooler environments during extreme heat events.

Flooding can occur during periods of heavy rainfall, potentially causing damage to homes and infrastructure. While the coastal risk is low, inland flooding remains a concern. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and take necessary precautions.

Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of individual preparedness, community resilience, and government action. By understanding the potential impacts and taking proactive steps, the community can mitigate the risks and adapt to a changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Charleys Forest?

The main climate risks include bushfires, heatwaves, and flooding.

How can I prepare for a bushfire?

Develop a bushfire survival plan, clear vegetation around your property, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay hydrated, seek cooler environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

How can I protect my property from flooding?

Elevate valuable items, clear drainage paths, and consider flood insurance.

Where can I find more information about climate change in Charleys Forest?

Consult the CSIRO climate projections and the NSW government's climate change website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Charleys Forest, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Charleys Forest's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Charleys Forest, NSW | ClimateNest