Climate Risk Profile for Centennial Park, NSW
Centennial Park faces a moderate climate risk profile, with heat and flooding being the primary concerns. The suburb's urban environment exacerbates the heat island effect, while localized flooding can occur during heavy rainfall. Coastal risks are minimal due to its inland location.
Is Centennial Park Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Centennial Park, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Centennial Park
Flood
Centennial Park has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to low-lying areas and drainage infrastructure. Localized flooding can occur during heavy rainfall events.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Centennial Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and lack of significant bushland within the immediate vicinity. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to surrounding bushland areas
- ·Increased frequency of extreme heat days
Heat
Centennial Park experiences a high heat risk, particularly during summer months. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Centennial Park has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Centennial Park
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Centennial Park experiences a high heat risk, particularly during summer months. Urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of heatwaves, posing health risks to vulnerable populations.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased frequency and intensity of heatwaves
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Aging population
flood Risk
Centennial Park has a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to low-lying areas and drainage infrastructure. Localized flooding can occur during heavy rainfall events.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Centennial Park has a very low coastal risk due to its distance from the coastline. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not significant threats to the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surge
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Centennial Park has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its urban location and lack of significant bushland within the immediate vicinity. However, ember attack from distant fires remains a potential concern.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to surrounding bushland areas
- ·Increased frequency of extreme heat days
- ·Dry vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heat risks.
Price Impact
Potential for moderate price impact due to increasing climate risks.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood history of the property.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heat.
- 3.Inquire about council's climate adaptation plans.
- 4.Ensure adequate insurance coverage.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Increase urban green spaces
Near-termPlant more trees and create green spaces to reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImprove drainage infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote water-sensitive urban design
Long-termIncorporate water-sensitive design principles in new developments to reduce stormwater runoff and improve water quality.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Centennial Park's Climate Risk Profile
Centennial Park, located in Sydney's eastern suburbs, is primarily threatened by increasing heat and localized flooding. The urban environment contributes to the urban heat island effect, leading to higher temperatures during heatwaves. This poses a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions.
Flooding is a moderate concern, with potential for localized inundation during heavy rainfall events. The suburb's drainage infrastructure may be insufficient to handle increasingly intense rainfall, leading to property damage and disruption.
Bushfire risk is relatively low due to the suburb's urban setting, but ember attack from distant fires remains a possibility. Coastal risks are minimal due to Centennial Park's distance from the coastline.
Climate change projections indicate that heat and flood risks will likely increase in the coming decades. Adaptation measures, such as increasing green spaces and improving drainage infrastructure, are crucial to mitigate these risks and protect the community.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Sydney
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Centennial Park?
The primary climate change risks for Centennial Park are increasing heatwaves and localized flooding due to more intense rainfall events. The urban heat island effect exacerbates the impact of heatwaves, while aging drainage infrastructure can contribute to flooding.
How will climate change affect property values in Centennial Park?
Climate change may have a moderate impact on property values in Centennial Park. Properties in low-lying areas prone to flooding may experience a decrease in value, while increased heat risk could also affect buyer demand.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Centennial Park?
The City of Sydney is implementing various climate adaptation measures, including increasing urban green spaces, upgrading drainage infrastructure, and developing a heatwave management plan. They are also promoting water-sensitive urban design to reduce stormwater runoff.
What can residents do to prepare for climate change impacts in Centennial Park?
Residents can prepare for climate change impacts by checking the flood history of their property, assessing their vulnerability to heat, inquiring about council's climate adaptation plans, and ensuring adequate insurance coverage. They can also take steps to reduce their carbon footprint and conserve water.
Where can I find more information about flood risks in Centennial Park?
You can find more information about flood risks in Centennial Park on the City of Sydney's website, including flood maps and information about drainage infrastructure upgrades. You can also contact the council directly for specific inquiries.
Get your property's risk report
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections