Climate Risk in Catalina, NSW
Catalina faces increasing risks from climate change, particularly related to heatwaves and flooding. Bushfire and coastal risks are also present. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events.
Is Catalina Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Catalina, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Catalina
Flood
Catalina faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The risk of bushfires in Catalina is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change may lead to longer fire seasons and increased fire intensity.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
Heat
Catalina is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Coastal erosion and inundation are potential risks for Catalina due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Catalina
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Catalina is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Catalina faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Coastal erosion and inundation are potential risks for Catalina due to sea level rise. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
bushfire Risk
The risk of bushfires in Catalina is moderate, influenced by surrounding vegetation and dry conditions. Climate change may lead to longer fire seasons and increased fire intensity.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Drier conditions
- ·Increased fuel load
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate-related risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate projections for the area.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Develop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateImplement strategies to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, such as establishing cooling centers and providing support to elderly residents.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreImprove flood defenses
Near-termInvest in infrastructure to reduce flood risk, such as levees, drainage improvements, and flood-proofing buildings.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreReduce bushfire fuel loads
Near-termImplement vegetation management programs to reduce the risk of bushfires spreading from surrounding bushland.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn morePlan for coastal erosion
Long-termDevelop a long-term plan to address coastal erosion, including strategies for protecting vulnerable infrastructure and relocating at-risk properties.
Est. cost: Very High
Learn moreUpgrade building codes
Near-termIncorporate climate resilience measures into building codes to ensure that new buildings are better able to withstand extreme weather events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Catalina's Climate Risk Profile
Catalina, NSW, is a suburb that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks are heatwaves and flooding, with bushfire and coastal risks also needing consideration.
Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves, such as staying indoors, drinking plenty of water, and using air conditioning.
Flooding is another major concern for Catalina, particularly in low-lying areas near waterways. Increased rainfall intensity could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents should be aware of flood risks and have a plan in place in case of a flood.
Bushfire risk is moderate, with the potential for fires to spread from surrounding bushland. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary.
Coastal risks include erosion and inundation due to sea level rise. Low-lying coastal areas are particularly vulnerable. Long-term planning is needed to address these risks.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Eurobodalla Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Catalina?
The main climate change risks for Catalina are heatwaves, flooding, bushfires, and coastal erosion. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How will heatwaves affect Catalina?
Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a significant threat to vulnerable populations. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves.
What is being done to address flood risk in Catalina?
The Eurobodalla Shire Council is working to improve flood defenses and reduce flood risk. This includes investing in infrastructure and implementing land-use planning measures.
How can I prepare for a bushfire in Catalina?
Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. The NSW Rural Fire Service provides information and resources on bushfire preparedness.
What is the long-term plan for addressing coastal erosion in Catalina?
The Eurobodalla Shire Council is developing a long-term plan to address coastal erosion. This plan will include strategies for protecting vulnerable infrastructure and relocating at-risk properties.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Catalina?
More information about climate change in Catalina can be found on the Eurobodalla Shire Council website, the NSW Department of Planning and Environment website, and the CSIRO website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Catalina, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections