Climate Risk Assessment: Carrs Island, NSW

Carrs Island, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Carrs Island faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and heatwaves. Sea level rise also poses a threat. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Carrs Island Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carrs Island, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Not ready to check your address? See a free sample report →

Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carrs Island

Flood

Carrs Island faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The bushfire risk in Carrs Island is relatively low due to the lack of extensive bushland. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds

Heat

Carrs Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Carrs Island faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its location. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to erosion and inundation.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carrs Island

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Carrs Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Carrs Island faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, potentially worsening flood events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Inadequate drainage
Data source

coastal Risk

Carrs Island faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to its location. Sea level rise and storm surges could lead to erosion and inundation.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The bushfire risk in Carrs Island is relatively low due to the lack of extensive bushland. However, dry conditions and strong winds can still pose a threat.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·Strong winds
  • ·Ignition sources
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums may increase due to flood and coastal risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be affected by climate risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and insurance costs.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider long-term climate risks.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Coastal Protection Measures

Long-term

Implement measures to protect against coastal erosion and sea level rise.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Near-term

Educate residents about climate risks and preparedness measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Carrs Island's Climate Risk Profile

Carrs Island, NSW, is susceptible to a range of climate-related hazards. The primary concerns are flooding due to increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise, and heatwaves, which are projected to become more frequent and intense. The island's low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation.

Bushfire risk is relatively lower compared to other regions, but dry conditions can still elevate the threat. Coastal erosion is also a concern, especially with rising sea levels.

Climate change projections indicate that these risks will intensify in the coming decades. It is crucial for residents and local authorities to implement adaptation measures to mitigate the impacts.

These measures include improving drainage infrastructure, developing heat action plans, and implementing coastal protection strategies. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential for building resilience to climate change.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks facing Carrs Island?

The main climate risks are flooding, heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

How will climate change affect property values in Carrs Island?

Property values may be affected by increased flood risk and coastal erosion.

What can residents do to prepare for heatwaves?

Stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

What is the local council doing to address climate change?

The local council is developing climate adaptation strategies and improving drainage infrastructure.

Where can I find more information about flood risks in Carrs Island?

You can find flood maps and information on the NSW SES website.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Carrs Island, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Carrs Island's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Carrs Island, NSW | ClimateNest