Climate Risk in Carrington, NSW
Carrington faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.
Is Carrington Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carrington, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carrington
Flood
Carrington faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to the Hunter River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Carrington is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. However, surrounding areas with bushland pose a potential threat.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Carrington is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
As a coastal suburb, Carrington is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Climate change is expected to accelerate these processes, threatening infrastructure and property.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carrington
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Carrington is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves due to climate change. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced vegetation cover
flood Risk
Carrington faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to the Hunter River. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
As a coastal suburb, Carrington is vulnerable to sea level rise and coastal erosion. Climate change is expected to accelerate these processes, threatening infrastructure and property.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Storm surges
- ·Coastal erosion
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Carrington is relatively low due to the suburb's urban environment and limited vegetation. However, surrounding areas with bushland pose a potential threat.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums are likely to increase in Carrington due to the increasing risk of flooding and coastal hazards.
Price Impact
Climate change may negatively impact property values in Carrington, particularly in areas that are most vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to sea level rise and coastal erosion.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of heatwaves on the property.
- 4.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 5.Review council plans for climate change adaptation.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Upgrade flood defenses
Near-termInvest in improved flood defenses, such as levees and drainage systems, to protect low-lying areas from flooding.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImprove building resilience to heat
Near-termImplement measures to improve building resilience to heat, such as installing insulation, shading windows, and using cool roofs.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreProtect coastal areas
Long-termImplement measures to protect coastal areas from erosion and sea level rise, such as beach nourishment and seawalls.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave management plan
ImmediateDevelop a heatwave management plan to protect vulnerable populations during periods of extreme heat.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Carrington's Climate Risk Profile
Carrington, located in New South Wales, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related challenges. Its low-lying geography and proximity to the Hunter River make it particularly vulnerable to flooding. Climate change is projected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flood events.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Carrington. As global temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more days of extreme heat, posing risks to public health, especially for vulnerable populations. The urban environment can also exacerbate the heat island effect, making temperatures even higher.
Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and coastal erosion, also threaten Carrington. Rising sea levels can inundate low-lying areas, damage infrastructure, and erode beaches. Storm surges can further exacerbate these impacts, causing significant damage to coastal properties.
While bushfire risk is relatively low in Carrington due to its urban environment, surrounding areas with bushland pose a potential threat. Residents should be aware of bushfire safety measures and be prepared to evacuate if necessary. Addressing these climate risks requires a combination of adaptation and mitigation strategies, including investing in flood defenses, improving building resilience to heat, and reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
City of Newcastle
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Carrington?
Carrington faces several climate risks, including flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, potentially impacting property values and community well-being.
How will climate change affect property values in Carrington?
Climate change may negatively impact property values in Carrington, particularly in areas that are most vulnerable to flooding and coastal erosion. Buyers should consider these risks when purchasing property in the suburb.
What is the council doing to address climate change in Carrington?
The City of Newcastle has developed a climate change strategy that outlines actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change. This includes investing in flood defenses, improving building resilience to heat, and protecting coastal areas.
How can I prepare for heatwaves in Carrington?
To prepare for heatwaves, residents should stay hydrated, avoid strenuous activity during the hottest part of the day, and seek out air-conditioned spaces. Vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, should take extra precautions.
What should I do if my property is flooded in Carrington?
If your property is flooded, you should evacuate to a safe location and contact emergency services. After the floodwaters recede, you should assess the damage and contact your insurance company.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Carrington, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections