Climate Risk in Carrathool, New South Wales
Carrathool faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk being relatively lower. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in terms of increased temperatures and rainfall intensity. Coastal risks are negligible due to its inland location.
Is Carrathool Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carrathool
Flood
Carrathool faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Lachlan River and flat terrain. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine overflow
Bushfire
The bushfire risk in Carrathool is moderate. While the area is primarily agricultural, surrounding grasslands and sparse woodlands pose a threat during dry periods.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Carrathool experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant heat risk. Prolonged heatwaves can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Coastal
Carrathool is located far inland, resulting in a very low coastal risk. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion do not pose a direct threat to the suburb.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carrathool
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Carrathool experiences high temperatures during summer, leading to a significant heat risk. Prolonged heatwaves can impact vulnerable populations and infrastructure.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Climate change
flood Risk
Carrathool faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to the Lachlan River and flat terrain. Riverine flooding can inundate low-lying areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Riverine overflow
- ·Climate change
coastal Risk
Carrathool is located far inland, resulting in a very low coastal risk. Sea-level rise and coastal erosion do not pose a direct threat to the suburb.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
The bushfire risk in Carrathool is moderate. While the area is primarily agricultural, surrounding grasslands and sparse woodlands pose a threat during dry periods.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and heat risks.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Inquire about council plans for flood mitigation.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Flood Management Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade levees and drainage systems to reduce the impact of flooding from the Lachlan River.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation Practices
Long-termEncourage residents and businesses to adopt water conservation practices to reduce water demand during dry periods.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreDevelop Bushfire Management Plan
Near-termCreate a comprehensive bushfire management plan to reduce the risk of bushfires and protect lives and property.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Carrathool's Climate Risk Profile
Carrathool, located in the Riverina region of New South Wales, is primarily an agricultural community. The suburb's climate is characterized by hot summers and mild winters, with rainfall distributed throughout the year. However, the region is susceptible to both flooding and drought conditions.
The primary climate-related risks for Carrathool include flooding from the Lachlan River, which can inundate low-lying areas and disrupt agricultural activities. Heatwaves during summer months pose a significant threat to public health, particularly for vulnerable populations. Bushfire risk is present but generally lower compared to other regions of NSW due to the predominantly cleared landscape.
Climate change projections indicate an increase in average temperatures and more frequent heatwaves, which will further exacerbate heat stress. Changes in rainfall patterns may lead to more intense rainfall events, increasing the risk of flooding. While the suburb is not directly exposed to coastal risks, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from climate change.
Adaptation measures are crucial to mitigate the impacts of climate change in Carrathool. These include improving flood management infrastructure, implementing heatwave early warning systems, and promoting water conservation practices. Community awareness and preparedness are also essential to building resilience to climate-related hazards.
Long-term planning should consider the potential impacts of climate change on agricultural productivity and water resources. Sustainable land management practices and diversification of agricultural activities can help to reduce vulnerability to climate variability. Collaboration between local government, community organizations, and research institutions is essential to develop and implement effective adaptation strategies.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Carrathool?
The main climate risks in Carrathool are flooding from the Lachlan River and heatwaves during summer. Bushfire risk is also present but generally lower.
How is climate change expected to impact Carrathool?
Climate change is expected to increase average temperatures, leading to more frequent and severe heatwaves. Changes in rainfall patterns may also increase the risk of flooding.
What can I do to prepare for flooding in Carrathool?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave in Carrathool?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.
Where can I find more information about climate change in Carrathool?
You can find more information about climate change in Carrathool on the websites of the local council, NSW government, and CSIRO.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections