Climate Risk Profile: Carramar, NSW
Carramar faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Bushfire risk is relatively low. Coastal risks are negligible.
Is Carramar Safe from Climate Risk?
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carramar
Flood
Carramar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Bushfire risk in Carramar is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
Heat
Carramar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect may amplify these impacts.
Key drivers:
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Carramar is not directly exposed to coastal hazards.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carramar
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Carramar is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effect may amplify these impacts.
Primary Drivers
- ·Climate change
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Reduced green spaces
flood Risk
Carramar faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and relatively flat terrain. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate this risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Aging drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
Bushfire risk in Carramar is relatively low due to the urbanized nature of the suburb. However, surrounding bushland areas pose a potential threat during extreme weather conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Proximity to bushland
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·Extreme weather events
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to flood risk.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
- 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums.
- 4.Review council planning regulations related to bushfire risk.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade and maintain drainage systems to reduce the risk of flooding during heavy rainfall events.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Heatwave Early Warning System
ImmediateDevelop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert residents of impending heatwaves and provide guidance on how to stay safe.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreIncrease Green Spaces
Long-termIncrease the amount of green space in Carramar to help reduce the urban heat island effect and provide shade and cooling.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity Education Programs
Near-termRun community education programs on climate risks and adaptation strategies.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Carramar's Climate Risk Profile
Carramar, NSW, is primarily threatened by flooding and heatwaves. The suburb's location near waterways makes it susceptible to inundation during heavy rainfall events. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, potentially leading to property damage and disruption to daily life.
Heatwaves are another significant concern for Carramar residents. As temperatures rise, vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions, are at increased risk of heatstroke and other heat-related illnesses. The urban heat island effect can further exacerbate these impacts, particularly in areas with limited green spaces.
While bushfire risk is relatively low compared to other parts of NSW, Carramar is not entirely immune. Surrounding bushland areas could pose a threat during periods of extreme heat and dryness. It is important for residents to be aware of bushfire safety precautions and to maintain their properties to reduce the risk of fire.
Coastal hazards are not a significant concern for Carramar due to its inland location. However, the suburb may indirectly experience the impacts of climate change through disruptions to supply chains and other economic activities.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Fairfield City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks for Carramar?
The main climate change risks for Carramar are increased flooding and more frequent and intense heatwaves.
How will climate change affect property values in Carramar?
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased flood risk.
What can I do to protect my home from flooding?
You can take steps to protect your home from flooding by installing flood barriers, improving drainage around your property, and raising electrical appliances above flood level.
How can I stay safe during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, stay cool, and avoid strenuous activity. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Carramar?
You can find more information about climate change risks in Carramar on the Fairfield City Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.
Get your property's risk report
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections