Climate Risk Assessment for Carrai, NSW
Carrai faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are projected to increase with climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Carrai Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carrai, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carrai
Flood
Carrai faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Carrai has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Decreased rainfall
Heat
Carrai is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Carrai is not exposed to coastal risks.
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carrai
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Carrai is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Carrai faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
bushfire Risk
Carrai has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased temperatures
- ·Decreased rainfall
- ·Accumulation of dry vegetation
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price stagnation or decline.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.
- 4.Consider long-term climate projections for the area.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire Preparedness
ImmediateImplement community education programs and assist residents in preparing their properties for bushfires.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave Action Plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCommunity Resilience Building
Long-termEstablish community support networks and resources to help residents cope with climate-related disasters.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreAbout Carrai's Climate Risk Profile
Carrai is a suburb in New South Wales that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The most significant risks are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves.
Flooding is a concern due to the suburb's proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe floods. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their properties.
Bushfires are also a major threat, particularly during the summer months. The surrounding bushland creates a high fire risk, and hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires. Residents should maintain their properties to reduce fire hazards and have a bushfire survival plan.
Heatwaves are becoming more common and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Residents should take precautions to stay cool during heatwaves, such as drinking plenty of water and staying in air-conditioned environments.
While Carrai is not directly on the coast, climate change impacts such as extreme weather events can still affect the suburb. It is important for residents to stay informed and take proactive measures to adapt to the changing climate.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Port Macquarie-Hastings Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks facing Carrai?
Carrai faces risks from flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves, which are expected to increase with climate change.
How can I prepare my property for bushfires?
Clear vegetation around your home, maintain gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan.
What should I do during a heatwave?
Stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Where can I find information about local flood risks?
Check the Port Macquarie-Hastings Council website for flood maps and information.
How is the council addressing climate change?
The council is developing and implementing climate strategies to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Carrai, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections