Climate Risk in Carrabolla, New South Wales

Carrabolla, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Carrabolla faces significant climate risks, particularly from bushfires and flooding. Rising temperatures and changing rainfall patterns are expected to exacerbate these risks in the future. Residents should take steps to prepare for these challenges.

Is Carrabolla Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carrabolla, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carrabolla

Flood

Carrabolla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localized flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Carrabolla has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures

Heat

Carrabolla experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Carrabolla is not directly located on the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carrabolla

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Carrabolla experiences moderately high temperatures during summer, with potential for heatwaves. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of heat events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Climate change
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Carrabolla faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to localized flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Climate change
Data source

coastal Risk

Carrabolla is not directly located on the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is low. However, sea level rise and storm surges could indirectly affect the region.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
Data source

bushfire Risk

Carrabolla has a high bushfire risk due to the surrounding bushland. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can exacerbate the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Dry vegetation
  • ·High temperatures
  • ·Strong winds
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to the elevated risk of bushfires and flooding.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone areas.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Review insurance options and costs.
  • 4.Consider long-term climate projections.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement regular property maintenance, create firebreaks, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Enhance Flood Resilience

Near-term

Elevate homes, install flood barriers, and improve drainage systems.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Mitigate Heatwave Impacts

Near-term

Install insulation, plant trees for shade, and establish cooling centers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Strengthen Infrastructure

Long-term

Upgrade power grids, water systems, and transportation networks to withstand extreme weather events.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

About Carrabolla's Climate Risk Profile

Carrabolla is a suburb in New South Wales that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. The surrounding bushland creates a high bushfire risk, especially during hot, dry conditions. Intense rainfall events can lead to localized flooding, particularly in low-lying areas.

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of these hazards. Rising temperatures will lead to more frequent and severe heatwaves, while changes in rainfall patterns could exacerbate flooding. Sea level rise, although not a direct threat, could indirectly affect the region through storm surges and coastal erosion.

Residents and property owners should take proactive steps to mitigate these risks. This includes maintaining bushfire-safe properties, preparing for heatwaves, and understanding flood risks. Community-level adaptation strategies are also essential to protect the suburb from the worst impacts of climate change.

Addressing climate change requires a multi-faceted approach, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions and implementing adaptation measures. By working together, the community can build resilience and protect Carrabolla from the challenges of a changing climate.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate risks in Carrabolla?

The main climate risks in Carrabolla are bushfires, flooding, and heatwaves. These risks are expected to increase due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for bushfires?

You can prepare your property by maintaining vegetation, creating firebreaks, and having a bushfire survival plan.

What should I do during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Carrabolla?

You can find information about flood risks on the council's website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

How is the council addressing climate change?

The council is developing and implementing a climate strategy to reduce emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Carrabolla, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections