Climate Risk Assessment for Caroona, NSW

Caroona, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Caroona faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly increasing the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and flooding events. Residents should prepare for hotter, drier conditions and potential disruptions from extreme weather.

Is Caroona Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Caroona, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Caroona

Flood

Caroona faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

Caroona has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Caroona is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves

Coastal

Caroona is not located near the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Caroona

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Caroona is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·More frequent heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Caroona faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas
Data source

coastal Risk

Caroona is not located near the coast, so the risk of coastal hazards is very low.

Data source

bushfire Risk

Caroona has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Hotter, drier conditions are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Surrounding vegetation
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of extreme weather events.

Price Impact

Properties in areas prone to flooding or bushfire may experience a decrease in value.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess the property's vulnerability to extreme weather events.
  • 3.Consider the cost of insurance and potential for future premium increases.
  • 4.Inquire about local council plans for climate change adaptation.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Invest in infrastructure to mitigate flood risk, such as improved drainage systems and flood barriers.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Enhance Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Implement bushfire management strategies, including controlled burns and community education programs.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a heat action plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and public awareness campaigns.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Promote Water Conservation

Long-term

Implement water conservation measures to address drought risk, such as rainwater harvesting and efficient irrigation techniques.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Caroona's Climate Risk Profile

Caroona is a rural locality in New South Wales that is exposed to a range of climate-related risks. The primary concerns are increasing temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, and the potential for more intense flooding events. Bushfire risk is also a factor due to the surrounding vegetation.

Climate change projections indicate that Caroona will experience hotter and drier conditions in the coming decades. This will lead to increased heat stress on residents, particularly during summer months. The elderly, children, and those with pre-existing health conditions are most vulnerable.

Changes in rainfall patterns are also expected to increase the risk of flooding. More intense rainfall events could overwhelm local drainage systems and cause property damage. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their homes and businesses.

While Caroona is not located on the coast, the impacts of climate change will still be felt. It is important for residents to take action to reduce their carbon footprint and adapt to the changing climate. This includes measures such as conserving water, using energy efficiently, and preparing for extreme weather events.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Caroona?

The main risks are increased heatwaves, more intense rainfall and flooding, and a higher risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Caroona?

Properties in areas prone to flooding or bushfire may experience a decrease in value due to increased risks and insurance costs.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Caroona?

Stay indoors during the hottest part of the day, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors. Consider installing air conditioning or visiting a cooling center.

What should I do to prepare for a flood in Caroona?

Know your flood risk, develop a flood plan, and have an emergency kit ready. Consider raising your home or installing flood barriers.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in Caroona?

Clear vegetation around your home, maintain your gutters, and have a bushfire survival plan. Consider installing fire-resistant building materials.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Caroona, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections