Climate Risk Profile: Carnes Hill, NSW
Carnes Hill faces moderate risks from flooding and heatwaves, with bushfire risk also present. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks, particularly in terms of increased temperatures and rainfall intensity. Residents should prepare for more frequent and intense extreme weather events.
Is Carnes Hill Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Carnes Hill, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Carnes Hill
Flood
Carnes Hill faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. Development and urbanization can increase runoff, exacerbating flood risk.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
Bushfire
Carnes Hill has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Carnes Hill is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effects can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Carnes Hill is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location.
Key drivers:
- ·Distance from the coast
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Carnes Hill
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Carnes Hill is susceptible to heatwaves, with increasing average temperatures posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Urban heat island effects can further amplify temperatures in built-up areas.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising average temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
flood Risk
Carnes Hill faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall events and potential overflow from local waterways. Development and urbanization can increase runoff, exacerbating flood risk.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Urban development
- ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
coastal Risk
Carnes Hill is not directly exposed to coastal risks such as sea level rise or coastal erosion due to its inland location.
Primary Drivers
- ·Distance from the coast
bushfire Risk
Carnes Hill has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood and intensity of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Strong winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to the rising risk of flooding and other extreme weather events.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone areas may experience a decrease in value due to increased risk and insurance costs.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data for the property.
- 2.Assess the property's bushfire risk and implement mitigation measures.
- 3.Ensure the property is well-insulated to reduce heat stress during summer.
- 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on insurance premiums and property values.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve Drainage Infrastructure
Near-termUpgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement Bushfire Management Strategies
Near-termConduct regular bushfire risk assessments and implement mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and fire breaks.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreDevelop Heatwave Response Plans
ImmediateEstablish heatwave early warning systems and provide support to vulnerable populations during heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn morePromote Water Conservation
Long-termEncourage residents to conserve water to reduce the strain on water resources during droughts and heatwaves.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreEnhance Community Awareness
Near-termEducate residents about climate change risks and adaptation measures through workshops and public awareness campaigns.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Carnes Hill's Climate Risk Profile
Carnes Hill, located in the Liverpool area of New South Wales, is subject to several climate-related risks. The primary concerns are flooding due to heavy rainfall and potential overflow from local waterways, as well as increasing heatwave frequency and intensity.
The suburb's proximity to bushland also contributes to a moderate bushfire risk, especially during hot and dry periods. While Carnes Hill is not directly impacted by coastal hazards, the broader regional climate changes will still affect the community.
Future climate projections indicate a likely increase in the severity and frequency of extreme weather events. This includes more intense rainfall, leading to higher flood risks, and rising average temperatures, exacerbating heatwave conditions. These changes pose challenges to infrastructure, public health, and the local environment.
Adaptation measures are essential to mitigate these risks. These include improving drainage infrastructure to manage floodwaters, implementing bushfire management strategies, and developing heatwave response plans to protect vulnerable residents. Community awareness and preparedness are also crucial for building resilience to climate change impacts.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Liverpool City Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Carnes Hill?
The main climate change risks in Carnes Hill are flooding, heatwaves, and bushfires. These risks are expected to increase in the future due to climate change.
How can I prepare for flooding in Carnes Hill?
You can prepare for flooding by checking flood maps, having an emergency plan, and ensuring your property is adequately insured. It's also important to keep up to date with weather forecasts and warnings.
What should I do during a heatwave in Carnes Hill?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned environments, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities. Check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.
How can I protect my property from bushfires in Carnes Hill?
You can protect your property from bushfires by maintaining your garden, clearing gutters, and having a bushfire survival plan. Ensure you are aware of fire danger ratings and follow the advice of emergency services.
What is Liverpool City Council doing to address climate change?
Liverpool City Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including improving drainage infrastructure, promoting water conservation, and developing heatwave response plans. Check their website for more information.
Where can I find more information about climate change projections for Carnes Hill?
You can find more information about climate change projections for Carnes Hill on the CSIRO website or through the NSW Government's climate change resources.
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What A$49 could save you from
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Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections