Climate Risk in Caringbah South, NSW
Caringbah South is a suburb in New South Wales that faces a medium overall climate risk. The primary concerns are increasing flood, heatwave, bushfire, and coastal risks driven by climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.
Is Caringbah South Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Caringbah South, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Caringbah South
Flood
Caringbah South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
Heat
Caringbah South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Located near the coast, Caringbah South is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. These factors can impact infrastructure and property values.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Caringbah South
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Caringbah South is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Rising global temperatures
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Caringbah South faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and potential inundation.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Located near the coast, Caringbah South is exposed to coastal hazards such as sea level rise and erosion. These factors can impact infrastructure and property values.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm surge
bushfire Risk
The suburb has a moderate bushfire risk due to the presence of nearby bushland. Dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of fire ignition and spread.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
- ·Drier vegetation
- ·Stronger winds
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.
Price Impact
Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire-prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves and coastal hazards.
- 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
- 4.Consider long-term climate risks when making a purchase decision.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater infrastructure to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreImplement bushfire mitigation measures
Near-termClear vegetation around properties, create firebreaks, and develop community fire plans.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreDevelop a heatwave preparedness plan
ImmediateEstablish cooling centers, provide assistance to vulnerable residents, and promote heat safety awareness.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreProtect coastal areas from erosion
Long-termConstruct sea walls, restore dunes, and implement coastal management strategies.
Est. cost: High
Learn morePromote water conservation
Near-termEncourage residents to reduce water consumption and install water-efficient appliances.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Caringbah South's Climate Risk Profile
Caringbah South, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The suburb's proximity to waterways and bushland elevates its risk to flooding and bushfires, while rising temperatures and sea levels exacerbate heatwave and coastal erosion concerns.
Flooding is a significant threat due to increased rainfall intensity and potential sea level rise. The suburb's low-lying areas are particularly susceptible to inundation during heavy rainfall events. Bushfire risk is also a concern, with dry conditions and strong winds increasing the likelihood of fire ignition and spread from nearby bushland.
Heatwaves are projected to become more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. The urban environment can amplify the effects of heatwaves, creating an urban heat island effect. Coastal hazards, such as sea level rise and erosion, also threaten infrastructure and property values in Caringbah South.
Addressing these climate risks requires a multi-faceted approach, including improved stormwater management, bushfire mitigation strategies, heatwave preparedness plans, and coastal protection measures. Residents and local authorities must work together to build resilience and adapt to the changing climate.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Sutherland Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate risks in Caringbah South?
The main climate risks in Caringbah South are flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal erosion, all of which are expected to worsen with climate change.
How can I prepare my property for flooding?
You can prepare your property for flooding by elevating appliances, installing flood barriers, and ensuring proper drainage.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned spaces, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activities.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, installing fire-resistant materials, and having a bushfire survival plan.
What is the council doing to address climate change?
The Sutherland Shire Council is implementing various strategies to address climate change, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions, improving stormwater management, and protecting coastal areas.
Where can I find more information about climate risks in Caringbah South?
You can find more information about climate risks in Caringbah South on the Sutherland Shire Council website, the NSW State Emergency Service website, and the Bureau of Meteorology website.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Caringbah South, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections