Climate Risk in Caringbah, NSW
Caringbah faces moderate risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Climate change is expected to exacerbate these risks in the future, particularly in relation to heatwaves and coastal inundation. Residents should take steps to prepare for these potential impacts.
Is Caringbah Safe from Climate Risk?
Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Caringbah, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.
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Overall Risk Score
Hazard Breakdown
Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.
Climate Hazard Breakdown for Caringbah
Flood
Caringbah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.
Key drivers:
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
Bushfire
Caringbah has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Key drivers:
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
Heat
Caringbah is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Key drivers:
- ·Global warming
- ·Urban heat island effect
Coastal
Caringbah faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation during storm surges.
Key drivers:
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
Wind
Data being compiled
Storm
Data being compiled
Social
Data being compiled
Energy
Data being compiled
In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Caringbah
Property buying guide with climate risk assessment
Flood zone mapping, historical events, and projections
BAL assessment, vegetation proximity, and fire history
Multi-hazard safety assessment to 2050
Severe weather, hail, and wind risk analysis
Extreme heat days, urban heat island, and cooling costs
Premium estimates and insurance availability
Climate-adjusted property investment analysis
Detailed Hazard Analysis
heat Risk
Caringbah is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves in the future. This can pose a risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions.
Primary Drivers
- ·Global warming
- ·Urban heat island effect
flood Risk
Caringbah faces a moderate risk of flooding due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can lead to stormwater runoff and riverine flooding.
Primary Drivers
- ·Increased rainfall intensity
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Urban development
coastal Risk
Caringbah faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and coastal erosion. Low-lying areas are particularly vulnerable to inundation during storm surges.
Primary Drivers
- ·Sea level rise
- ·Increased storm intensity
bushfire Risk
Caringbah has a moderate bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland areas. Hot, dry conditions and strong winds can increase the likelihood of bushfires.
Primary Drivers
- ·Dry vegetation
- ·High temperatures
- ·Wind patterns
What This Means for Property Owners
Insurance Outlook
Insurance premiums may increase in high-risk areas.
Price Impact
Properties in flood-prone or bushfire-prone areas may experience price impacts.
Buyer Checklist
- 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
- 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
- 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
- 4.Review insurance options and premiums.
How the region's climate is projected to change
Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.
Temperature
+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030
Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.
Rainfall
Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030
The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.
Fire weather
Harsher, magnitude uncertain
High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.
Sea level
+0.12 m by 2030
At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.
Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →
Adaptation Recommendations
Improve stormwater drainage
Near-termUpgrade stormwater drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flooding.
Est. cost: Medium
Learn moreBushfire preparedness
ImmediateImplement bushfire mitigation measures, such as vegetation management and community education programs.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreHeatwave response plan
Near-termDevelop a heatwave response plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreCoastal protection measures
Long-termImplement coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
Est. cost: High
Learn moreCommunity awareness programs
Near-termEducate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.
Est. cost: Low
Learn moreAbout Caringbah's Climate Risk Profile
Caringbah, located in the Sutherland Shire of New South Wales, is a suburb that faces a range of climate-related risks. Its proximity to waterways and bushland makes it vulnerable to flooding and bushfires, while rising temperatures and sea levels pose additional challenges.
Flooding is a significant concern for Caringbah, particularly in low-lying areas. Intense rainfall events can overwhelm stormwater drainage systems and lead to riverine flooding. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of these events, putting more properties at risk.
Bushfires are another potential hazard, especially during hot, dry summers. The proximity of bushland areas increases the risk of fire spreading to residential areas. Residents need to be aware of bushfire safety precautions and have a plan in place in case of an emergency.
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. This can pose a significant risk to vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with chronic health conditions. It is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on neighbors during heatwaves.
Sea level rise is also a concern for Caringbah, particularly in coastal areas. Rising sea levels can lead to increased coastal erosion and inundation during storm surges. This can damage property and infrastructure and displace residents.
Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.
Local Government Resources
Sutherland Shire Council
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the main climate change risks in Caringbah?
Caringbah faces risks from flooding, bushfires, heatwaves, and coastal hazards, all of which are expected to be exacerbated by climate change.
How is the council preparing for climate change?
Sutherland Shire Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies to address these risks, including upgrading stormwater drainage, managing bushfire risk, and protecting coastal areas.
What can I do to prepare for a flood?
You can prepare for a flood by knowing your flood risk, having an emergency plan, and keeping your property well-maintained.
How can I protect my home from bushfires?
You can protect your home from bushfires by clearing vegetation around your property, having a bushfire survival plan, and ensuring your home is well-maintained.
What should I do during a heatwave?
During a heatwave, it is important to stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.
Is my property at risk from sea level rise?
If your property is in a low-lying coastal area, it may be at risk from sea level rise. Check with the council for more information.
Get your property's risk report
This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Caringbah, use our analysis tool.
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What A$49 could save you from
*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA
Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections