Climate Risk Assessment for Cabbage Tree Island, NSW

Cabbage Tree Island, New South Wales
Updated Apr 2026

Cabbage Tree Island faces significant climate-related risks, particularly from flooding and coastal hazards. Rising temperatures and increased bushfire risk also pose challenges. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Cabbage Tree Island Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Cabbage Tree Island, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Cabbage Tree Island

Flood

Cabbage Tree Island is highly susceptible to flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity and sea levels, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area around Cabbage Tree Island has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Cabbage Tree Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Cabbage Tree Island faces significant coastal risks due to sea level rise and potential erosion. Increased storm surges can also lead to inundation and damage.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

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Energy

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In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Cabbage Tree Island

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Cabbage Tree Island is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Cabbage Tree Island is highly susceptible to flooding due to its low elevation and proximity to waterways. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity and sea levels, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Low elevation
Data source

coastal Risk

Cabbage Tree Island faces significant coastal risks due to sea level rise and potential erosion. Increased storm surges can also lead to inundation and damage.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Cabbage Tree Island has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures are expected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation density
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values may be negatively impacted by increased flood and coastal risks.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood history of the property.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and mitigation measures.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise.
  • 4.Review insurance options and costs.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Immediate

Construct seawalls and levees to protect against rising sea levels and storm surges.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Upgrade Drainage Systems

Near-term

Enhance drainage infrastructure to manage increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Bushfire Management

Near-term

Conduct regular vegetation clearing and establish firebreaks to reduce bushfire risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heat Action Plan

Immediate

Create a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Raise Awareness

Long-term

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation measures.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Cabbage Tree Island's Climate Risk Profile

Cabbage Tree Island is a low-lying area susceptible to various climate change impacts. The primary concern is the increasing risk of flooding due to rising sea levels and more intense rainfall events. This can lead to property damage, displacement, and disruption of essential services.

Bushfire risk is also a growing concern, with hotter and drier conditions increasing the likelihood of fires in the surrounding areas. Heatwaves are expected to become more frequent and severe, posing health risks to vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with pre-existing conditions.

Coastal erosion and inundation are further threats, with sea level rise potentially impacting infrastructure and natural habitats. The combined effects of these hazards require proactive adaptation measures to protect the community and its assets.

Addressing these challenges will require a coordinated effort involving local government, residents, and other stakeholders. Implementing strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the changing climate is crucial for ensuring the long-term sustainability of Cabbage Tree Island.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Cabbage Tree Island?

The main risks are flooding, coastal erosion, bushfires, and heatwaves, all of which are expected to increase in frequency and intensity due to climate change.

How will rising sea levels affect Cabbage Tree Island?

Rising sea levels will increase the risk of coastal flooding and erosion, potentially impacting property and infrastructure.

What can residents do to prepare for increased bushfire risk?

Residents can clear vegetation around their homes, prepare a bushfire survival plan, and stay informed about fire danger ratings.

Where can I find information about local emergency services?

Contact your local council or visit the NSW emergency services website for information about emergency preparedness and response.

What is the council doing to address climate change?

Please consult the council's website or contact them directly to learn about their climate change strategies and initiatives.

How can I reduce my carbon footprint on Cabbage Tree Island?

You can reduce your carbon footprint by using energy-efficient appliances, reducing your water consumption, using public transport, and supporting local businesses.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Cabbage Tree Island, use our analysis tool.

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Cabbage Tree Island, NSW | ClimateNest