Climate Risk Assessment for Busbys Flat, NSW

Busbys Flat, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Busbys Flat faces moderate climate risks, primarily from flooding and bushfires. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and take steps to protect their property.

Is Busbys Flat Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Busbys Flat, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Busbys Flat

Flood

Flooding is a moderate concern in Busbys Flat, with potential for riverine and flash flooding. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development

Bushfire

Busbys Flat faces a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Busbys Flat. Vulnerable populations are at increased risk during extreme heat events.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Coastal risks are minimal in Busbys Flat due to its inland location.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Busbys Flat

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Heatwaves are becoming more frequent and intense in Busbys Flat. Vulnerable populations are at increased risk during extreme heat events.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Flooding is a moderate concern in Busbys Flat, with potential for riverine and flash flooding. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, exacerbating flood risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Urban development
  • ·Inadequate drainage infrastructure
Data source

coastal Risk

Coastal risks are minimal in Busbys Flat due to its inland location.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

Busbys Flat faces a high bushfire risk due to its proximity to bushland. Hotter, drier conditions are projected to increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Fuel load
  • ·Wind patterns
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Premiums are likely to increase due to increased flood and bushfire risk.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to flooding and bushfires.
  • 3.Obtain adequate insurance coverage.
  • 4.Consider future climate risks when making purchasing decisions.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade local drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Bushfire Mitigation Measures

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation measures, such as controlled burns and vegetation management, to reduce fuel loads.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Preparedness Plan

Near-term

Develop a community heatwave preparedness plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Education Programs

Long-term

Conduct community education programs to raise awareness of climate risks and promote preparedness.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Busbys Flat's Climate Risk Profile

Busbys Flat is located in a region that is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks are associated with flooding and bushfires, both of which are projected to worsen in the coming decades.

Increased rainfall intensity is expected to exacerbate flood risk, particularly in areas with inadequate drainage. Residents should be aware of flood warnings and have a plan in place to evacuate if necessary.

The risk of bushfires is also increasing due to hotter, drier conditions. Property owners should maintain their properties to reduce fuel loads and be prepared to defend their homes or evacuate if a fire threatens.

Heatwaves are also becoming more frequent and intense, posing a risk to vulnerable populations. Residents should take steps to stay cool during heatwaves and check on elderly or ill neighbors.

While coastal risks are low due to the suburb's inland location, the broader region may experience indirect impacts from sea level rise and coastal erosion.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks in Busbys Flat?

The main climate change risks in Busbys Flat are flooding, bushfires, and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the coming decades due to climate change.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

You can prepare your property for flooding by clearing gutters and downpipes, raising electrical appliances, and having a flood emergency plan.

What should I do during a bushfire?

During a bushfire, you should follow the advice of emergency services. If you are not able to defend your property, evacuate early.

How can I stay safe during a heatwave?

During a heatwave, stay indoors in air-conditioned buildings, drink plenty of water, and avoid strenuous activity.

Where can I find more information about climate change risks in Busbys Flat?

You can find more information about climate change risks in Busbys Flat from the local council, the NSW State Emergency Service, and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Busbys Flat, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections