Climate Risk Profile: Burrill Lake, NSW

Burrill Lake, New South Wales· Shoalhaven· 2536
Updated May 2026

Burrill Lake faces increasing climate risks, particularly from flooding, heatwaves, and coastal hazards. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events and consider long-term adaptation strategies.

Is Burrill Lake Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Burrill Lake, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burrill Lake

Flood

Burrill Lake is at moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Burrill Lake. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flooding.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

The area around Burrill Lake has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the risk.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Burrill Lake is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Burrill Lake faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surge. This could impact low-lying properties and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burrill Lake

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Burrill Lake is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased greenhouse gas emissions
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Burrill Lake is at moderate risk of flooding due to its low-lying areas and proximity to Burrill Lake. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flooding.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surge
Data source

coastal Risk

Burrill Lake faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards due to sea level rise and storm surge. This could impact low-lying properties and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Increased storm intensity
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Burrill Lake has a moderate bushfire risk due to surrounding vegetation. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the risk.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Increased fuel load
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to climate risks.

Price Impact

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to sea level rise.
  • 3.Inquire about insurance costs and coverage.
  • 4.Consider energy efficiency and water conservation measures.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall and reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Develop Heatwave Response Plan

Immediate

Implement a plan to protect vulnerable populations during heatwaves, including cooling centers and community outreach.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and dune restoration, to mitigate erosion and inundation.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Management Plan

Near-term

Create and maintain a bushfire management plan for properties and the community, including clearing vegetation and establishing firebreaks.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Immediate

Educate residents about climate risks and adaptation strategies through workshops and online resources.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burrill Lake's Climate Risk Profile

Burrill Lake, located on the NSW South Coast, is increasingly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall and rising sea levels, more intense and frequent heatwaves, and coastal erosion. These changes pose significant challenges to the local community, infrastructure, and natural environment.

Flooding is a major concern due to the suburb's proximity to Burrill Lake and low-lying areas. Increased rainfall intensity and potential storm surges could lead to more frequent and severe flooding events, impacting homes and businesses. The risk of bushfires is also present, with surrounding vegetation posing a threat during drier and hotter periods.

Heatwaves are expected to become more common and intense, placing stress on vulnerable populations, such as the elderly and those with pre-existing health conditions. Coastal erosion and inundation due to sea level rise could also impact properties and infrastructure along the coastline.

Addressing these challenges requires a combination of mitigation and adaptation strategies. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to slowing down the rate of climate change. Local adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure, implementing bushfire management plans, and developing heatwave response strategies, are essential to protect the community and environment.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Burrill Lake?

The main risks include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal erosion due to sea level rise.

How can I prepare my property for flooding?

Consider raising your home, improving drainage, and installing flood barriers. Check your insurance coverage for flood damage.

What should I do during a heatwave?

Stay indoors in air-conditioned spaces, drink plenty of water, and check on vulnerable neighbors and family members.

How is the council addressing climate change?

Shoalhaven City Council is developing and implementing climate adaptation strategies, including improving drainage infrastructure and promoting energy efficiency.

Where can I find more information about bushfire safety?

Visit the NSW Rural Fire Service website for information on bushfire preparedness and safety tips.

What is the long-term outlook for property values in Burrill Lake given climate change?

Properties in high-risk areas may experience price reductions, while those with effective adaptation measures may maintain their value. It's important to consider climate risks when buying or selling property.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Burrill Lake, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections