Climate Risk in Burrell Creek, New South Wales

Burrell Creek, New South Wales
Updated May 2026

Burrell Creek faces increasing risks from flooding and heatwaves due to climate change. The suburb also has a moderate bushfire risk. Residents should prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Is Burrell Creek Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Burrell Creek, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burrell Creek

Flood

Burrell Creek is located near waterways and low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risks.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways

Bushfire

The area around Burrell Creek has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Key drivers:

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures

Heat

Burrell Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves

Coastal

Burrell Creek is not directly on the coast, so coastal risks are low. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not major concerns for this suburb.

Key drivers:

  • ·Distance from the coast

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burrell Creek

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Burrell Creek is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. Higher average temperatures can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising average temperatures
  • ·Increased frequency of heatwaves
Data source

flood Risk

Burrell Creek is located near waterways and low-lying areas, making it susceptible to flooding. Increased rainfall intensity could exacerbate flood risks.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Proximity to waterways
  • ·Low-lying areas
Data source

coastal Risk

Burrell Creek is not directly on the coast, so coastal risks are low. Sea level rise and coastal erosion are not major concerns for this suburb.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Distance from the coast
Data source

bushfire Risk

The area around Burrell Creek has some bushland, posing a moderate bushfire risk. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Higher temperatures
  • ·Proximity to bushland
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to flood and bushfire risks.

Price Impact

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and historical flood data.
  • 2.Assess bushfire risk and prepare a bushfire survival plan.
  • 3.Ensure adequate insurance coverage for flood and bushfire risks.
  • 4.Consider the potential impact of climate change on property value.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Flood Defenses

Near-term

Construct levees and improve drainage systems to reduce flood risk.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Bushfire Preparedness

Immediate

Implement bushfire mitigation strategies, such as clearing vegetation around properties and creating firebreaks.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Heatwave Action Plan

Near-term

Develop a heatwave action plan to protect vulnerable populations during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Community Awareness Programs

Long-term

Conduct community awareness programs to educate residents about climate change risks and adaptation strategies.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burrell Creek's Climate Risk Profile

Burrell Creek, located in New South Wales, is projected to experience a range of climate change impacts. The primary concerns are increased flooding due to more intense rainfall, and more frequent and severe heatwaves. The suburb also faces a moderate risk of bushfires, which could be exacerbated by drier conditions and higher temperatures.

Flooding is a significant concern for Burrell Creek due to its proximity to waterways and low-lying areas. Climate change is expected to increase rainfall intensity, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. Residents should be aware of flood risks and take steps to protect their properties.

Heatwaves are also a growing threat to Burrell Creek. As average temperatures rise, the suburb is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves, which can pose health risks, especially for vulnerable populations. It is important for residents to stay cool and hydrated during heatwaves.

Bushfire risk is moderate in Burrell Creek due to the presence of nearby bushland. Drier conditions and higher temperatures could increase the frequency and intensity of bushfires, posing a threat to homes and properties. Residents should be prepared for bushfires and have a plan in place.

While coastal risks are low due to the suburb's distance from the coast, the overall climate risk for Burrell Creek is increasing. Residents should take steps to adapt to the changing climate and prepare for more extreme weather events in the future.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Burrell Creek?

The main climate change risks for Burrell Creek are increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and a moderate risk of bushfires.

How will climate change affect property values in Burrell Creek?

Properties in flood-prone areas may experience price reductions due to increased flood risk. Bushfire risk may also impact property values.

What can I do to prepare for flooding in Burrell Creek?

Check flood maps and historical flood data, ensure adequate insurance coverage, and take steps to protect your property from flood damage.

How can I protect my home from bushfires in Burrell Creek?

Clear vegetation around your property, create firebreaks, and develop a bushfire survival plan.

What resources are available to help me adapt to climate change in Burrell Creek?

MidCoast Council, NSW RFS, and NSW Health provide resources and information to help residents adapt to climate change.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Burrell Creek, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

Check Burrell Creek's specific flood risk and see how it compares to nearby suburbs. Enter your address for an instant risk assessment.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Assessment for Burrell Creek, NSW | ClimateNest