Climate Risk Profile: Burraboi, NSW

Burraboi, New South Wales· Sutherland Shire
Updated May 2026

Burraboi is a suburb in New South Wales that faces moderate climate risks, particularly from flooding and heatwaves. These risks are projected to increase in the future due to climate change. Residents should prepare for more frequent extreme weather events.

Is Burraboi Safe from Climate Risk?

Enter your address below for an instant climate risk assessment for Burraboi, New South Wales, covering flood, bushfire, sea level rise and more.

Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

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Overall Risk Score

Address-level

Hazard Breakdown

Flood, bushfire, heat, coastal and storm exposure are all assessed in this area. The score that matters is the property's own: a ClimateNest report scores the address across eight hazards, with insurance and value projections to 2050.

Climate Hazard Breakdown for Burraboi

Flood

Burraboi faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase slightly due to climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise

Bushfire

Burraboi has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk in the future.

Key drivers:

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions

Heat

Burraboi is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Key drivers:

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect

Coastal

Burraboi faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Key drivers:

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges

Wind

Data being compiled

Storm

Data being compiled

Social

Data being compiled

Energy

Data being compiled

In-Depth Climate Risk Guides for Burraboi

Detailed Hazard Analysis

heat Risk

Burraboi is likely to experience more frequent and intense heatwaves. This poses a risk to vulnerable populations and infrastructure.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Rising global temperatures
  • ·Urban heat island effect
Data source

flood Risk

Burraboi faces a moderate risk of flooding, primarily from heavy rainfall and potential riverine overflow. The risk is expected to increase slightly due to climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased rainfall intensity
  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Urban development
Data source

coastal Risk

Burraboi faces a moderate risk from coastal hazards, including sea level rise and erosion. The risk is projected to increase with climate change.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Sea level rise
  • ·Storm surges
  • ·Erosion
Data source

bushfire Risk

Burraboi has a relatively low bushfire risk due to its location and vegetation. However, increased temperatures and drier conditions could elevate the risk in the future.

Primary Drivers

  • ·Increased temperatures
  • ·Drier conditions
  • ·Vegetation dryness
Data source

What This Means for Property Owners

Insurance Outlook

Insurance premiums may increase due to increased climate risks.

Price Impact

Property values in vulnerable areas may be negatively impacted.

Buyer Checklist

  • 1.Check flood maps and bushfire prone area designations.
  • 2.Assess property's vulnerability to heatwaves.
  • 3.Consider potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal erosion.
  • 4.Review insurance options and potential premium increases.

How the region's climate is projected to change

Regional projections, not a forecast for this street. Figures are from the WA Department of Water and Environmental Regulation's climate projections for the South Western Flatlands region, which draws on CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology modelling.

Temperature

+0.5 to 1.1°C by 2030

Above the 1986–2005 climate, on all emissions scenarios. By 2090, 1.2 to 2.0°C under intermediate emissions or 2.6 to 4.0°C under high emissions.

Rainfall

Winter rain down up to 15% by 2030

The South West has been drying since 1970, and the decline has been larger than anywhere else in Australia. Heavy rainfall events are projected to become more intense even as totals fall.

Fire weather

Harsher, magnitude uncertain

High confidence that fire weather becomes harsher, low confidence in the size of the change, because it depends heavily on summer rainfall.

Sea level

+0.12 m by 2030

At the Fremantle gauge, range 0.07 to 0.16 m. Very high confidence that sea levels continue to rise through the century.

Source: Department of Water and Environmental Regulation (WA), Western Australian climate projections: summary, September 2021, South Western Flatlands chapter. Read the projections →

Adaptation Recommendations

Improve Drainage Infrastructure

Near-term

Upgrade drainage systems to handle increased rainfall intensity and reduce the risk of flash flooding.

Est. cost: Medium

Learn more

Implement Heatwave Early Warning System

Immediate

Develop and implement a heatwave early warning system to alert vulnerable populations and provide guidance on staying safe during extreme heat events.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

Strengthen Coastal Defenses

Long-term

Invest in coastal protection measures, such as seawalls and beach nourishment, to mitigate the impacts of sea level rise and erosion.

Est. cost: High

Learn more

Promote Bushfire Preparedness

Near-term

Educate residents on bushfire safety and encourage them to prepare their properties for bushfire season.

Est. cost: Low

Learn more

About Burraboi's Climate Risk Profile

Burraboi, NSW, is a suburb that will be increasingly affected by climate change. The primary risks include flooding from increased rainfall intensity and sea level rise, as well as more frequent and intense heatwaves.

The risk of flooding is expected to increase, potentially impacting properties close to waterways. Bushfire risk is relatively low but could increase with drier conditions. Heatwaves will become more common, posing a threat to vulnerable populations.

Coastal risks, including sea level rise and erosion, are also a concern for Burraboi. These changes could affect infrastructure and property values. Residents should stay informed about local emergency plans and take steps to prepare for extreme weather events.

Adaptation measures, such as improving drainage infrastructure and implementing heatwave early warning systems, can help mitigate these risks. Individual actions, like preparing emergency kits and ensuring adequate home cooling, are also important.

Suburb pages describe the local picture. The address-level assessment, with its data sources and its dollar projections, is in the ClimateNest report.

Local Government Resources

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main climate change risks for Burraboi?

The main climate change risks for Burraboi include increased flooding, more frequent and intense heatwaves, and coastal erosion.

How will climate change affect property values in Burraboi?

Property values in vulnerable areas may be negatively impacted by increased climate risks, such as flooding and coastal erosion.

What can I do to prepare for heatwaves in Burraboi?

Stay informed about heatwave warnings, stay hydrated, seek air-conditioned environments, and check on vulnerable neighbors.

Where can I find information about flood risks in Burraboi?

You can find information about flood risks on the Sutherland Shire Council website and the NSW State Emergency Service website.

What is the council doing to address climate change in Burraboi?

The Sutherland Shire Council is developing and implementing climate change adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change on the community.

Get your property's risk report

This suburb assessment covers the area. For a precise address-level climate risk report for any specific property in Burraboi, use our analysis tool.

Check Your flood Risk Now

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Free instant previewCSIRO-powered data

What A$49 could save you from

$7.2B
2022 insured disaster losses*
$300B+
climate risk to property by 2050*
30-120%
insurance premium increases in high-risk areas*

*Industry sources: ICA, APRA, RBA

Full report from A$49 · Australian addresses only · 8 hazard scores · Insurance trajectory · 2030 & 2050 projections

Climate Risk Profile for Burraboi, NSW | ClimateNest